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Gender gap in battleground states one of the widest ever, analysts say
Dallas Morning News via the Wicita Eagle ^ | September 29, 2004 | CHRISTY HOPPE

Posted on 09/29/2004 6:46:14 PM PDT by NCjim

Gender gaps in battleground states are some of the widest ever seen in presidential elections, underscoring the need for Thursday night's debate to speak directly to women - the largest voting bloc and a potential key to winning the election, political analysts said Wednesday.

The first presidential debate will cover foreign policy and recent polls show that women rank President Bush as stronger on national security.

But the Bush administration's pre-emptive strike, go-it-alone policy in Iraq is worrisome to women, said national pollster John Russonello, who has worked primarily for Democratic candidates.

"Women have been more dovish than men right from the beginning of the war on Iraq," he said.

For John Kerry, who up until recently has tried to stress domestic issues - where he ranks higher with women - the debate means presenting himself as a capable commander-in-chief, Russonello said.

"The Kerry vote among women so far has been driven by domestic issues, but for him to close on those issues, he can't get there until he makes himself acceptable on the security issues," he said.

Debbie Walsh, director of Rutgers University Center for American Women and Politics, said Bush has done well by connecting the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq with new freedoms for women throughout the world.

Kerry likely would need to stress that making the world safer through coalition building is what will strengthen homeland security, she said.

Walsh said Kerry also should expand the foreign policy topic to include jobs and out-sourcing - areas where women have shown particular concern.

Polls taken this month in key states such as Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Ohio have shown that women support Kerry over Bush by a margin of 12 to 27 percentage points.

It is significant because women comprise the greatest number of swing voters and they vote in larger numbers than men, Walsh said.

Eleanor Smeal, director of the Feminist Majority, pointed out that Al Gore had an 11 percentage point "gender gap" nationwide in 2000 - then the largest such gap seen in presidential elections. The edge among women voters won Gore 16 crucial states, offsetting the strength that Bush had with male voters, she said.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: battleground; gendergap; spin; womenvote

1 posted on 09/29/2004 6:46:15 PM PDT by NCjim
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To: NCjim

Well I hate to break this to the Kerry team but Bush has closed the gender gap with women and widened it with men. Gonna be a long night for Jhengis Johnny.


2 posted on 09/29/2004 6:47:56 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Ask not what you can do for your country, ask the country what it will do for you!)
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To: NCjim
"Women have been more dovish than men right from the beginning of the war on Iraq," he said.

Bush needs to be sure to remind everyone, and especially women, that the Islamic terrorists tortured and murdered little children and mothers at that school in Russia and they would do it here if they could.
3 posted on 09/29/2004 6:48:48 PM PDT by Max Combined (I gave back, I can't remember, six, seven, eight, nine...)
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To: NCjim

A dem pollsters wishful thinking.


4 posted on 09/29/2004 6:55:21 PM PDT by etradervic (If Kerry is the answer, what was the question?)
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To: NCjim
Curse the XIXth Amendment!

Only joshin' Ladies...

5 posted on 09/29/2004 6:56:25 PM PDT by bikepacker67 (Sandy wasn't stuffing his socks, he was stuffing A sock.)
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To: NCjim

Um.....yeah.

Then why is Bush almost tied with women in the polls?


6 posted on 09/29/2004 7:00:31 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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To: NCjim
Polls taken this month in key states such as Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Ohio have shown that women support Kerry over Bush by a margin of 12 to 27 percentage points

More wishful thinking by the Hard Left. Notice how they do not cite any of these mythical polls. I have been watching then polls close here in Minnesota and can not find a single one that indicates any where near this sort of "Gender" gap here. Just another lie brought to to by The DNC Propaganda Machine. They just cannot stand the fact that their losing EVEN among their "Dovish" base!
7 posted on 09/29/2004 7:03:39 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We have the solutions, Kerry Democrats? Nothing but slogans)
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To: MNJohnnie

Last I looked, there was a 2 point "gender gap" for Kerry amongst women in Minnesota (46-44), and a 10 point gender gap for Bush over Kerry with men (54-44). This article is pure crap.


8 posted on 09/29/2004 7:13:33 PM PDT by MNnice
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To: NCjim

Only natural that they quote Eleanor "Inequities of Power" Smeal.


9 posted on 09/29/2004 7:15:14 PM PDT by dr_who_2
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To: MNnice
Last I looked, there was a 2 point "gender gap" for Kerry amongst women in Minnesota (46-44), and a 10 point gender gap for Bush over Kerry with men (54-44). This article is pure crap.

Are you registered to vote? Be sure to get everyone you can to the polls! We can win here in MN but we are going to have to turn out EVERONE given the massive voter fraud effort being geared up by Kerry front groups. If you, or anyone you know, needs help getting to the polls or getting an absentee ballot, let me know. I have links to the various websites. Thanks for your help!
10 posted on 09/29/2004 7:18:58 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We have the solutions, Kerry Democrats? Nothing but slogans)
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To: MNJohnnie

Polls taken this MONTH? What is today the 30th!

so they are saying in the past 30 days these polls were taken.

Now that is hot off the presses!


11 posted on 09/29/2004 9:09:31 PM PDT by BookaT (My Cat's Breath smells like Cat Food!)
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To: NCjim
But the Bush administration's pre-emptive strike, go-it-alone policy in Iraq is worrisome to women

Guess they would have preferred the Hitler-Stalin-Tojo coalition to Churchill's go-it-alone preemptive policy too.
12 posted on 09/29/2004 9:47:20 PM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Give Them Liberty Or Give Them Death! - Islam Delenda Est! - Rumble thee forth...)
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To: NCjim
But the Bush administration's pre-emptive strike, go-it-alone policy in Iraq is worrisome to women

What?







Just for starters of course...
13 posted on 09/29/2004 9:50:18 PM PDT by swilhelm73 ("I think you can be an honest person and lie about any number of things" -- Dan Rather)
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To: NCjim
"Women have been more dovish than men right from the beginning of the war on Iraq," he said.

Not THIS woman!! I want those Marines in Fallujah, Najaf, Samara and Baghdad to GET SOME!!

14 posted on 09/29/2004 9:56:39 PM PDT by SuziQ (Bush in 2004-Because we MUST!!!)
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To: NCjim

W Stands for Women!


15 posted on 09/29/2004 9:58:50 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Max Combined
Bush needs to be sure to remind everyone, and especially women, that the Islamic terrorists tortured and murdered little children and mothers at that school in Russia and they would do it here if they could.

I wanted to repeat that. Women need to be reminded that these terrorists invaded a school, took the children and the parents hostage, and then shot the kids as they were escaping.

16 posted on 09/29/2004 9:59:20 PM PDT by McGavin999 (If Kerry can't deal with the "Republican Attack Machine" how is he going to deal with Al Qaeda)
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To: NCjim
Here's the reason a lot of women are switching over to voting for Bush!

After Action Report Laura Bush Speaking in Salem, OR, 09-28-04

17 posted on 09/29/2004 10:03:21 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: MNJohnnie

I saw a little of the Oprah show while I was at the health club. The whole show was devoted to getting women to vote. The segment that I saw was with Cameron Diaz and the things that she was saying were so outrageous that I couldn't believe it. She started out by telling the women that voting is so important if they aren't happy with the way things in this country are going, if they aren't happy with their neighborhoods and their lives because things could get much worse, and they have been worse, especially for Blacks who were persecuted and even lynched (added by Oprah. Then Diaz went on to say that one of the biggest things that women had to lose was control of their own bodies and that if they didn't want to be raped they had better vote. (That of course is a synopsis)


18 posted on 09/29/2004 10:04:45 PM PDT by Eva
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To: McGavin999

"terrorists invaded a school, took the children and the
parents hostage, and then shot the kids as they were escaping."

Don't forget the part about not giving them any water so that they had to drink their own urine. Or the fact that mothers had to chose between leaving with their infant and leaving other children with the terrorists or not leaving at all. Or the fact that little girls were raped.


19 posted on 09/29/2004 10:10:30 PM PDT by Max Combined (I gave back, I can't remember, six, seven, eight, nine...)
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