Kerry's numbers go down after he visits a state.
I just wish the McCollum supporters would "put some ice on it" and support Martinez. Its sickening that Castro, er, Castor, is beating him in the polls.
Man, this last hour has been a 1..2..3..4 punch. The DUmmies must be hysterical.
Kerry will lose Florida. Big Time.
God does have his mysterious ways of working!!!!!!!!!!
How can you be a "likely voter" and yet have "no opinion" in the presidential race? Isn't that almost contradictory?
Quinnapiac has bush up 6 or 7 in Florida and the I-4 corridor poll has similar numbers. Bush is up. I think, like the guy at RealClearPolitics said, people are rejecting Kerry. 'Experts' say people firm up at labor day and I think that is what happened more than Swift Bosts..people, who took a look at Kerry and toyed with supporting him, have decided not to.
Unless there are federal election observers (like Missouri had in 2002 and SD will probably have this year), hurricane choas will look like a dry-run by comparison. If I were Jeb, I would seriously consider asking the Justice Department to send people in from Civil Rights Division, Voting Rights Department to monitor the show this time round. Furthermore, it's amazing how many people who were going to vote twice reconsider when they realize the Feds are watching.
Paula Zahn marvelling at the drop in Floridians who say things are getting worse in the economy. Last month only 41% of Floridians said economy was getting worse...now it is 57%...
Well DUH...a few hurricanes may make a difference...still nearly 2 million without power...people are responding to actual conditions and linking that to the question of being better off at a point in time.
Is Paula Zahn blaming Bush for the hurricanes?
Floridians reacting to hurricane conditions and linking that to the question "do you think the economy is getting better?" Last month, 57% said YES...in this poll, only 41% said YES...
It is hard to look at rubble and say the economy is better even though it may be true.
I was actually hoping that the Gallup numbers would be a bit better for Bush in Florida, although I realize that the hurricanes have hit the more heavily Republican parts of the state. But I'll take it.
[Polling is difficult at a time when large regions of the state are recovering from natural disasters like hurricanes, including the most recent storm, Ivan, which badly damaged the Florida Panhandle. Many people have lost their homes or evacuated their damaged homes - making it impossible to reach them.]
If these polls were conducted without giving the Panhandle its proper political weight, then Bush must be up by more. Plus, I'd wager that Mel and Castor are in fact tied with Panhandle voters factored in.
Too close for comfort. And it's REALLY bad that Castor's up. She's the most dangerous Senate candidate in the nation. I'd honestly vote for Howard Dean first. Mel can certainly turn this around, but he needs to come out swinging, and come out swinging NOW.
I think Gallup is probably more accurate. I don't think Nader is taking 5% of anything, as Quinnipiac indicates.