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New Survey USA polls; Bush leads by 20 in SC, 21 in TX, 1 in OR. Kerry by 5 in WA
http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html ^

Posted on 09/22/2004 6:27:58 PM PDT by Nascardude

President, TX 9/22/2004 Bush (R) 58% Kerry (D) 37% Other/Undecided 5% Data Collected 9/19/04 - 9/21/04 Geography State of Texas Sample Population 642 Likely Voters Margin of Error 3.9% Client KPRC-TV Houston KEYE-TV Austin WOAI-TV San Antonio

President, SC 9/22/2004 Bush (R) 58% Kerry (D) 38% Other/Undecided 4% Data Collected 9/19/04 - 9/21/04 Geography State of South Carolina Sample Population 684 Likely Voters Margin of Error 3.8% Client WCSC-TV Charleston

President, OR 9/22/2004 Bush (R) 48% Kerry (D) 47% Other/Undecided 5% Data Collected 9/19/04 - 9/21/04 Geography State of Oregon Sample Population 747 Likely Voters Margin of Error 3.7% Client KATU-TV Portland

President, WA 9/22/2004 Kerry (D) 51% Bush (R) 46% Other/Undecided 2% Data Collected 9/19/04 - 9/21/04 Geography State of Washington Sample Population 627 Likely Voters Margin of Error 4.0% Client KING-TV Seattle KHQ-TV Spokane


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bushsurge; election2004; kewl; polls; susa
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Thank God for that Texas poll. I was worried sick. Some stupid rumor was out that Kerry was making up ground. I would have guessed Texas would for sure be one of those places.
1 posted on 09/22/2004 6:27:58 PM PDT by Nascardude
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To: Nascardude

We dont like girly men like Kerry in Texas ! ;)


2 posted on 09/22/2004 6:30:37 PM PDT by Nyboe
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To: Nascardude

Another poor sign for the Kerry campaign - they're pulling ads in Arizona, Arkansas, Louisiana and Missouri. Color them red. Meanwhile Real Clear Politics has Bush up in the Electoral College count. RCP seems to have the best analysis and use of poll averages around, as far as I can tell. Michael Barone recommends their methods of averaging polls and you can't do better than a Barone recommendation in my book.


3 posted on 09/22/2004 6:30:46 PM PDT by conservativecorner
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To: Nascardude

It will be a cold day in hell before Kerry makes any ground in Texas. He shows his face when he wants to raise money, but he's had no serious effort to court the vote. He knows he can never have Texas.


4 posted on 09/22/2004 6:30:54 PM PDT by McLynnan (Wearing New Pajamas)
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To: Nascardude

Surely you jest...right?


5 posted on 09/22/2004 6:32:13 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Nascardude
President, SC 9/22/2004 Bush (R) 58% Kerry (D) 38%

Good thing Kerry picked Edwards, huh?

6 posted on 09/22/2004 6:32:55 PM PDT by atomicpossum (If there are two Americas, John Edwards isn't qualified to lead either of them.©)
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To: Nascardude
President, WA 9/22/2004 Kerry (D) 51% Bush (R) 46% Other/Undecided 2% Data Collected 9/19/04 - 9/21/04 Geography State of Washington Sample Population 627 Likely Voters Margin of Error 4.0% Client KING-TV Seattle KHQ-TV Spokane

closin' in! :)

7 posted on 09/22/2004 6:32:57 PM PDT by PureSolace (I love freedom.)
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To: PureSolace

...or is it just wishful thinking? :-P


8 posted on 09/22/2004 6:33:21 PM PDT by PureSolace (I love freedom.)
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To: RoseofTexas

If anybody couldn't tell, I was being sarcastic


9 posted on 09/22/2004 6:35:14 PM PDT by Nascardude
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To: Nascardude

Personally, I don't care what the polls say, relating to how many people are going to vote for Bush. I want to know how many ELECTORIAL Votes he's gonna get. That's all that matters.


10 posted on 09/22/2004 6:35:30 PM PDT by Hodar (With Rights, comes Responsibilities. Don't assume one, without assuming the other.)
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To: atomicpossum

58-38 sounds good. I think it's the ARG poll that shows Kerry behind only 10-12 in SC. I do not believe that for a second.

This is the 2d poll to show GWB ahead in OR. That state is winable, as is IA, MN, and NM.


11 posted on 09/22/2004 6:36:06 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Nascardude

I'm delighted to see those Oregon numbers. That will be a first for this People's Republic if it happens, particularly considering that the 2 largest urban areas, the governor, and most of the legislature (RINOs at best)propagandize straight liberal-progressive. Just hope we can pull it off.


12 posted on 09/22/2004 6:36:32 PM PDT by fraidycat (Socialism is the opiate of academia.)
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To: Nascardude; Nyboe

"So Bush is leading. Big frickin' deal.
This is how I won my medals for bravery in Vietnam."

13 posted on 09/22/2004 6:36:35 PM PDT by Liz
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To: Liz
Only down by 5% in WA? Hey seems like even WA is in play now.

Kerry is bleeding....BLEEDING!

14 posted on 09/22/2004 6:41:48 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Nascardude

"Thank God for that Texas poll. I was worried sick. Some stupid rumor was out that Kerry was making up ground. I would have guessed Texas would for sure be one of those places."

Come on now, you Texas is a battleground state.
'Help is on the way'


15 posted on 09/22/2004 6:43:09 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Nascardude

Oregon is going to be tight again. Kerry can't afford to lose this state. He has no room for error in the electoral vote count because it looks like he has planned a strategy for winning the bare minimum to be elected. I think Bush is going to hold on to all of the states he won in 2000 and pick off a few of the Gore states to win easily.


16 posted on 09/22/2004 6:44:49 PM PDT by midftfan
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To: Nascardude

What was the basis for this rumor?
It seems like the Democrats are trying to go right after Bush in his home state.
Not that they are challenging him there, but rather they are trying to create impressions. The attacks on Bush's guard record with these forged memos with the Travis county Democrat party at the very heart of it, and now this rumor you've heard. I think they're connected, as to say "Texans are seeing the 'truth' about Bush now" as an attempt to use this whole distasteful scandal to undermine confidence in the president.

I wouldn't buy such a rumor for a second.


17 posted on 09/22/2004 6:45:09 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

WA isn't in play just yet. But all polls have been steadily trending towards Bush for months. WA, NY, CA, MI, HI and IL will be the "battleground" states by November 2.

I believe Bush will win CA, WA, HI for the same reason Reagan won them in 1984. The election will be called for Bush before the polls close on the west coast and Bush will ride the wave to a west coast sweep.

Bush will win OR even without the sweep.


18 posted on 09/22/2004 6:50:21 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: counterpunch

I was being sarcastic about the Texas part. A few democrats were wetting themselves over some poll that was suppose to come out today that showed Kerry had pulled back to even. It was thought that the NBC/WSJ poll was going to be it. That had Bush ahead by 4 points. If that's the best Kerry can do than I feel sorry for libbies


19 posted on 09/22/2004 6:50:29 PM PDT by Nascardude
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To: TNCMAXQ; SC Swamp Fox
58-38 sounds good. I think it's the ARG poll that shows Kerry behind only 10-12 in SC. I do not believe that for a second.

Which will mean a landslide for Senate candidate DeMint (R) to replace Hollings (D).

20 posted on 09/22/2004 6:53:36 PM PDT by Palmetto
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