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Poll Gives Kerry Big Lead Among Voters Under 30
MTV.com ^ | 09.21.2004 | Peter Olasky

Posted on 09/22/2004 10:31:05 AM PDT by No Surrender Monkey

Younger voters think the country is heading in the wrong direction and that President Bush does not share their priorities, but they like Bush personally and are unsure about John Kerry.

Overall, Kerry has a substantial lead among voters under thirty, a reversal of the Bush's nine-point advantage among all registered voters. In a head-to-head contest, Kerry is leading Bush by 10 points (51-41), and in a contest that includes Ralph Nader, Kerry is ahead by 6 (46-40-4).

These results came from a new poll of 18-29-year-olds (conducted September 8-13) by CBS News on behalf of MTV and the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE).

Kerry's support, however, could be described as lukewarm. A full two-thirds of his supporters harbor reservations or are voting for Kerry merely out of a greater dislike for the other guy. Less than half of all respondents like Kerry personally.

While those aren't Clintonian numbers, they might be enough, especially given young voters' negative appraisal of Bush's first term. Only 39 percent of the respondents have a favorable impression of the president, only 44 percent approve of the way he is handling his job, and more than half feel he does not share their priorities.

On the other hand, more than half of the respondents like Bush personally (including a fair percentage of Kerry voters) and his supporters are generally more enthusiastic than Kerry's. To muddle the picture even further, when asked to match the candidates to different roles, the respondents chose Bush as the preferred dad, boss and guy to hang out with, while Kerry was tapped as the better teacher and — oh, so crucially — slightly cooler.

Cool or not, the support for both candidates among young voters is more tepid than among voters generally. Forty percent of all Kerry's supporters "strongly favor" him, while only a third of young voters feel the same way. Similarly, nearly two-thirds of Bush's supporters "strongly favor" the president, compared to just over half of his younger supporters.

This does not appear to be a case of youthful political cynicism: 75 percent feel this is one of the most important elections in their lifetime — if not the most — and 85 percent say that it matters who wins. Young voters are following this election closely and nearly 8 in 10 say they definitely plan to vote. The last time voters under 30 were paying as much attention at this stage in the campaign was the 1992 battle between Bill Clinton, George H. W. Bush and Ross Perot.

As in 1992, the top issues for young voters this year are the economy and jobs. Only 3 percent of respondents rated the economy as "very good," although over half think it is at least "fairly good." Almost two-thirds describe the job prospects for young people as "fair" or "poor."

Other top concerns of survey respondents were terrorism, education and safeguarding civil liberties. A majority expect some terrorist attack in the next few months. Health care, a major issue for older voters, did not appear on the survey.

Feelings about the war in Iraq are mixed, as slightly more of the respondents agreed that invading Iraq was a good thing than disagreed. There is overwhelming opposition to reinstating the military draft to provide additional soldiers to the conflict. Interestingly, young men are slightly less opposed to a draft than young women.

Somewhat surprisingly, the vice-presidential candidates don't appear to have made much of a splash. Despite the Democrats' frequent attacks on Dick Cheney, 42 percent of respondents have no opinion of the current vice president. John Edwards is even more of an unknown: 58 percent of respondents don't know enough about him to render a view.

Perhaps the most interesting numbers in the survey are that 1 in 4 of the respondents were not registered to vote and that 1 in 5 of registered voters were still undecided as to who to vote for. In a race this close, these votes and potential votes could decide the next president.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: circlejerks; drewbarrymore; generationx; mtv; piercedgenitals; polls; putdownthebong; raisethevotingage; youthvote
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Why Don't Young People Vote? Drew Barrymore Wants Answers

09.21.2004 5:22 PM EDT

Drew Barrymore noticed a problem.

A mere 36 percent of eligible 18- to 24-year-olds punched their ticket at the polls in the last presidential election. Since getting the voting age lowered to 18 in 1972, young people have been increasingly less interested in showing up on Election Day.

In an effort to understand and unravel the issues of low voter turnout, Barrymore set out across the Unites States in hopes of learning more about the electoral process and efforts to get young people involved in democracy. From her home in Los Angeles to stops in New York; Washington, D.C.; Selma, Alabama; and a handful of other towns, Barrymore sought to learn why so many kids have a hard time connecting with politics.

Along the way, she listened to the insights of everyone from Fat Mike of punk group NOFX to former Christian Coalition Director Ralph Reed to the citizens of Selma, who marched and lived through this country's greatest struggle for equal rights.

Tune in to MTV Tuesday at 10:30 p.m. to see her journey in "The Best Place to Start." And don't forget to register to vote. In many states, there are less than 10 days left to register.

—MTV News Staff Report

1 posted on 09/22/2004 10:31:06 AM PDT by No Surrender Monkey
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To: No Surrender Monkey

of course, the lie about bush reinstituting the draft can't have anything to do with this . . . . . riiiiiight.


2 posted on 09/22/2004 10:32:21 AM PDT by smonk
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To: No Surrender Monkey

6 points among a subsample is a "big lead"?

So I guess Bush's 11-point lead in certain polls is a "monstrous lead".


3 posted on 09/22/2004 10:32:34 AM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: No Surrender Monkey

Fine with me, they don't vote. Just ask Howard Dean.


4 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:06 AM PDT by keat
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To: No Surrender Monkey

whats that saying?

if youre not a liberal at age 20 you have no heart
if youre not a conservative at age 40 you have no brain?

im sure i butchered it.


5 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:18 AM PDT by dennis1x
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To: No Surrender Monkey

MTV is another left wing whore outlet owned by Viacom which owns CBS and Blather.


6 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:43 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (When will the ABCNNBC BS lunatic libs stop Rathering to Americans? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: No Surrender Monkey
If you're not a liberal by the time you're 20, you have no heart.

If you're not a conservative by the time you're 30, you have no brain.

7 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:46 AM PDT by The G Man (I'm mad as ZELL and I'm not gonna take it anymore!)
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To: No Surrender Monkey

Anyone has an idea, what fraction of the registered and likely voters are under 30?


8 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:52 AM PDT by QQQQQ (Defeat Kerry. Support the SwiftVets. Keep the ads on the air. http://www.swiftvets.com)
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To: No Surrender Monkey

I bet Kerry is sleeping muuuuuch better now. Yep. Get those MTV kids out to vote. Yep.


Yep.


9 posted on 09/22/2004 10:33:53 AM PDT by Truth Table
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To: No Surrender Monkey

They aren't even hiding the fact that they're telling their audience that the president is going to reinstate the draft and they'll be going to war.


10 posted on 09/22/2004 10:34:03 AM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: Truth Table

Those mtv kids wure showed up in droves for Dean


11 posted on 09/22/2004 10:34:49 AM PDT by Sinner6 (I can mod your XBox)
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To: No Surrender Monkey
Elect Joe Kerney and Stu Ped In 2004!

(For those who recall Hannity's schtick a few weeks back)

12 posted on 09/22/2004 10:34:55 AM PDT by angkor
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To: No Surrender Monkey

----ah, yes----the group taht gets its information from MTV-----


13 posted on 09/22/2004 10:34:55 AM PDT by rellimpank
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To: No Surrender Monkey

Are we to take this poll of the nitwits who watch MTV seriously?


14 posted on 09/22/2004 10:35:32 AM PDT by livinez
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Don't trust anyone under thirty.


15 posted on 09/22/2004 10:35:32 AM PDT by vollmond (DS2 CV-66 83-87)
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: Truth Table

Guys, this poll has great news. Only 6 points down with the younger crowd after 4 year of Bush bashing by everyone from Michael Moore to CBS and the Iraq situation. This is almost within the margin of error!


17 posted on 09/22/2004 10:35:53 AM PDT by StopDemocratsDotCom
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To: smonk

"while Kerry was tapped as the better teacher and — oh, so crucially — slightly cooler."

18 posted on 09/22/2004 10:35:55 AM PDT by No Surrender Monkey
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To: No Surrender Monkey

Of course I am sure that the fact the dems and Edwards are going around saying that Bush is going to bring back the draft means nothing at all


19 posted on 09/22/2004 10:36:50 AM PDT by jbwbubba (stunner)
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To: No Surrender Monkey

boy they will twist this anyway possible to try to make it look like he will win.

young voters are typically clueless and usually vote the way the media or hollywood tell them to. its an exceptional young person who critically thinks about this stuff.


20 posted on 09/22/2004 10:37:16 AM PDT by applpie
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