I think that if we gain less than 3 or 4 more Republican seats in the Senate in November, Lincoln Chaffee will jump ship to either Independent or Democrat.
You really think Chaffee would really choose to switch to a minority with no prospects of regaining the majority any time soon?
Further to this, I could imagine Chaffee jumping if he felt it was the only way to hold onto his own seat. Do we know if he feels vulnerable?