To: Republic Rocker
Kerry Spot points out that the Pew poll showed a massive shift toward Kerry in certain quarters over the one week polling period. For example, Bush went from a 20-point lead among young voters (under age 30) to a 14-point deficit. What could have caused a net shift of 34% in that group? And the poll shows a similar finding among seniors.
To: Bonaventure
Kerry Spot points out that the Pew poll showed a massive shift toward Kerry in certain quarters over the one week polling period. For example, Bush went from a 20-point lead among young voters (under age 30) to a 14-point deficit. What could have caused a net shift of 34% in that group? And the poll shows a similar finding among seniors. Swings that large usually mean that both polls are wrong and the truth is somewhere in between.
12 posted on
09/16/2004 3:37:36 PM PDT by
COEXERJ145
(Hannity Was Right, FReepers Tend To Eat Their Own)
To: Bonaventure
One of the young people interviewed as part of Hannity's "man on the street" interviews today expressed draft anxiety. There might be a whispering campaign going on that Bush will cause a draft.
To: Bonaventure
Nothing could cause a shift like that.
Nothing.
That alone shows the polls to be invalid.
25 posted on
09/16/2004 3:49:13 PM PDT by
sharktrager
(Nobody deserves our hostility when they are in a time of need.)
To: Bonaventure
Good question. Here is a possible answer: what was the sampling and weighting?
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