9/14/04 There is still anticipation of an OBL video/audio tape to soon appear. Absence of OBL in the annual celebratory video of 911 has raised eyebrows of many analysts
I think that US SpecOps is close to or has already contained OBL and they are awaiting thier own go code to grab him. This is being delayed by the White House IMHO, for the most politically opportune time (BRAVO, GW!!). I suspect he is bottled up in an area where they are jamming his commo and there is no way for a courier to sneak past the little mean men in the green beanies. That's why no more messages from OBL. Regardless, I still believe the operational "go Code" was given months ago and the play is in motion.
I hope and pray (please, please, please, please, please) let this be so. However, he is a slippery one and knows where all the hidie holes are. However, the absence of his image on the 3rd annaversary tape with his right hand man has raised a lot of eye brows. Some think hes dead. Others postulate a scenario similar to yours - he's bottled up on constantly on the run and cannot communicate out. But I agree, either way a "GO" code has been given in his name and the clock is ticking.
I agree that the "go" was given. Maybe we are also holding off on announcing OBL's capture/demise because that would certainly inflame the terrorists to a fever pitch.