Posted on 09/10/2004 2:20:08 PM PDT by Theodore R.
Poll shows Vitter in lead for Senate seat
By The Associated Press
Republican David Vitter is consolidating his front-running status in the U.S. Senate race, jumping to 42 percent in the latest poll by pollster Verne Kennedy.
The Metairie congressman's three Democratic rivals -- state treasurer John Kennedy, U.S. Rep. Chris John, and state rep. Arthur Morrell -- are at 19, 16 and 3 percent respectively in the 600-person poll, taken while the Republican National Convention was held in New York between Aug. 30 and Sept. 2.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.
Vitter jumped six points from Kennedy's previous poll in July. Advertising in the Senate race has been limited so far, but Vitter got something of a jump with ads boosting him from a business group. John began with ads in north Louisiana but is now showing them statewide, and Kennedy begins advertising next week.
fugetaboutit....Vitter will be the first Republican senator in Louisiana since Reconstruction, being helped by the coming Bush landslide...
Great news - I live in Louisiana and have been campaigning for him. Now to win the runoff.
That's what he needs, Bush's coattails. I think he loses if he doesn't get 50%+1 on election day.
Getting 50% in the run-off is the key.
If Vitter gets it, he's in.
If not, the Dems will coalesce around whomever their remaining candidate.
Good Luck to the Vitter campaign. I'd love to see the GOP pick up that seat.
How liberal is Kennedy? I know John is quite conservative, so a decent portion of his vote may go to Vitter in a Vitter-Kennedy runoff if Kennedy is a lefty.
All leading LA Democrats have hopped aboard the KerryEdwards(Breaux) candidacy.
Any word on President Bush's lead in Louisiana??
No polls that I have read on President Bush's lead but Kerry gave up on the state.
I believe you are incorrect. Unless I am mistaken, Lousiana has a primary only for state offices before Nov. 2nd. There is no primary for House and Senate, because of their 'top two' system would violate the constitution for federal offices, so they have everybody run on the Nov.2 ballot, and go to a runoff in December if nobody gets over 50%.
That's what happened in 2002 in Landreu/Terell.
Actually, getting 50% in the GENERAL is key, thus avoiding a runoff. He wants 50% in the general especially, because during the December runoff, he won't have Bush's coattails to run on, kinda like Suzie Terell didn't have as much psudo-Bush-coattails in 2002 even though R's got 52% of the vote in the General, but lost the runoff.
Most recent poll had Kerry down by 16%. Kerry isn't really trying in this state anymore, which should help Vitter.
My error!
Bad typing (and thinking skills) again!
I did mean to say general election, not run-off.
Thank you for correcting that for me!
There is no primary for House and Senate, because of their 'top two' system would violate the constitution for federal offices, so they have everybody run on the Nov.2 ballot, and go to a runoff in December if nobody gets over 50%.
Yes, all candidates run for the House and Senate in a Nov. 2 "primary." Such "primaries" were once held in September until a federal court ruled that they must coincide with the regular November general election to prevent anyone from getting elected outright in a "primary."
After the Nov. 2 "primary" (held in conjunction with the presidential and any-other-state/local-office general election), there may be runoffs for House and Senate seats in early December. Democrats have been particularly skilled at getting their voters to the polls in these December "general elections," their official designation. I know it's confusing, but that's the way Louisiana is, to paraphrase the popular Walter Cronkite.
I have more hope on David Vitter than I do on Richard Burr of NC. However the rumors about Vitter's hobby of networking with New Orleans brothels may come out soon.
Does Burr really stink that badly as a candidate? What's going on in NC?
Bowles has the benefit of superior name ID after losing to Liddy Dole in 2002. People outside the Winston-Salem area don't know much about Burr. Using his personal wealth, Bowles started playing ads in May which portray him as a conservative RAT, while Burr was carefully budgeting his campaign warchest. Burr intends to engage in a massive media blitz in October. I hope Burr's plan works.
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