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USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll results (Missouri: Bush 55%, Kerry 41%; OH: W 52, K 43; PA: W 48, K 47)
Gallup | 9/8

Posted on 09/08/2004 7:09:13 PM PDT by ambrose

USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll results (Missouri: Bush 55%, Kerry 41%; OH: W 52%, K 43%; PA: W 48%, K 47%)


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Missouri; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: battleground; gallup; kewl; polls
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To: PianoMan
yes, it is good news, and the internals are even better:

"Bush's lead remains within the survey's error margin at Labor Day, the traditional start of the campaign's homestretch.

By historical standards, the race is too close to call. But the New York convention altered the political landscape and attitudes toward the candidates in ways helpful to Republicans. Views of whether Bush has the personality and leadership qualities to be president improved by 6 points; those of Kerry declined by 14 points.

And the importance of terrorism — the issue on which Bush has his biggest advantage — surged. Voters now say terrorism is as important as the economy in determining their vote. Bush is preferred by 27 points over Kerry in handling terrorism, up from a 10-point edge last month.

Bush strategist Matthew Dowd says Bush is further ahead than the campaign expected. With the conventions over, he says Kerry "has lost any ability to have any one-way conversation" with voters.

Mark Mellman, Kerry's pollster, says there is "no doubt" that "ugly and inaccurate speeches" at the Republican convention had an effect. "Equally, there's no doubt they'll fade pretty quickly," he says. (hasn't happened yet )

The lessons of presidential races since World War II indicate that either candidate could prevail in November. Since World War II, three contests have been within the margin of error among registered voters at Labor Day. In those races, the leading candidate won in 1980; the trailing candidate won in 1960 and 2000.

Bush received a modest bounce from his party's convention, but Kerry's standing sagged in the USA TODAY poll after the Democratic convention in July.

The poll finds the president driving both sides of the ballot: Eight of 10 of his supporters say they will vote for Bush rather than against Kerry. But half of Kerry's supporters say they are voting against Bush."

101 posted on 09/08/2004 9:29:14 PM PDT by YaYa123 (@Not A Sure Thing Yet, But Looking Good.com)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

Naah. I just checked and they're feeling fine. They found an AOL online poll that shows Kerry leading on the "who do you trust on the war in Iraq?" question. All the other polls are a bunch of lies put out by Bush's lapdogs in the MSM.

Nice feeling to have severed the AOL apronstrings.


102 posted on 09/08/2004 9:43:20 PM PDT by Just Lori (Do you ever wonder if Dubya is a lurker?)
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To: writer33

Of course you still have me for three more weeks. ;-)



How comforting that is, writer. Shall I kill the fatted calf over this one? =)


103 posted on 09/08/2004 9:44:20 PM PDT by Just Lori (Do you ever wonder if Dubya is a lurker?)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Some states are toss ups. Duh.


104 posted on 09/08/2004 9:49:17 PM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: Spanaway Lori

Don't you dare kill that calf...You...You...You heartless, uncaring, animal abusing conservative. :) Hehe!


105 posted on 09/08/2004 9:53:32 PM PDT by writer33 (Try this link: http://www.whiskeycreekpress.com/books/electivedecisions.shtml)
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To: writer33

But.... but..... my dog is hungry! LOL


106 posted on 09/08/2004 9:55:27 PM PDT by Just Lori (Do you ever wonder if Dubya is a lurker?)
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To: COURAGE

Then list your tossups, pilgrim. And how you got your posted EV totals.


107 posted on 09/08/2004 10:02:07 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Spanaway Lori

You're a heartless b....b....b.... I can't even say the word. I hope you can just live with yourself when you wake up every morning! :) Hehe!


108 posted on 09/08/2004 10:11:38 PM PDT by writer33 (Try this link: http://www.whiskeycreekpress.com/books/electivedecisions.shtml)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

Yes exactly. They're still drinking the kerry koolaid over at DUh. They sure are in for a rude awakening.


109 posted on 09/08/2004 10:18:38 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: The Scourge of Yazid

The timing of this post is suspicious. . .


110 posted on 09/08/2004 10:48:05 PM PDT by Fedora
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To: Fedora
Inspector Watson:

Indeed.

111 posted on 09/08/2004 11:00:01 PM PDT by The Scourge of Yazid (This tag-line paid for by "Friends of Paul Rodriguez.")
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To: COURAGE

Still trying to spread doom&gloom? You're going to be so miserable on November 3! LOL


112 posted on 09/08/2004 11:03:01 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: nopardons

I'm stating that the election in the EC is now Bush. Are you from the DU?


113 posted on 09/09/2004 12:10:28 AM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: COURAGE

No...are YOU a dual poster? ;^)


114 posted on 09/09/2004 12:14:14 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: MojoWire

Do you have a link or other evidence to support your claim that there were districts in PA with 100% turnout, with 100% of votes going to the Democrat candidate? (I'm assuming he/she is not running unopposed)

I would be very interested in seeing this. With supporting evidence, this story could be more widely spread for sure.


115 posted on 09/09/2004 7:58:16 AM PDT by ER_in_OC,CA
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To: ER_in_OC,CA
Do you have a link or other evidence to support your claim that there were districts in PA with 100% turnout, with 100% of votes going to the Democrat candidate?

I will do some searching. I just remember reading something in the newspaper immediately after the 2000 election claiming a 100 percent turnout at some Philly voting precincts, with all or nearly all the votes going for Gore.

Also by experience, I can attest to many unusual practices in some local precincts in Philly, where the voting booths on some blocks are set up in a basement of various local establishments.

116 posted on 09/10/2004 4:10:55 AM PDT by Edit35
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To: MojoWire

No bother, I assumed you had some links or data at hand.

Certainly "peculiarities" in many mega-cities are not rare, but if we had facts in hand which revealed obvious fraud then some of the 'mainstream' might listen if repeated often enough in the blogosphere and talk radio.

Better to keep our eyes forward on 2004 anyway, we don't want to get those 2000 Gorewhiners rolling again.


117 posted on 09/10/2004 8:13:30 AM PDT by ER_in_OC,CA
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To: ambrose

What is little appreciated about Washington State is that the West side of the state is hopelessly liberal, AND that's where most of the polling is done.
East of the Cascade mountains is quite conservative and seldom polled.
I'll bet Bush could close the gap in the state by election day.


118 posted on 09/10/2004 8:26:08 AM PDT by G Larry (Support John Thune!)
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To: Mike Fieschko

I understand and appreciate your argument but an additional 2 EVs for Kerry could potentially be the 2 EVs that could put him over 270. Let's hope that doesn't happen.


119 posted on 09/11/2004 2:25:26 PM PDT by doctor noe
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