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Hurricane Ivan: Now A CAT 4/Models Shift Again
NHC | 9-07-2004 | my favorite headache

Posted on 09/07/2004 5:45:54 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Hurricane Ivan has become a Category 4 Hurricane again! Winds over 130 mph and gusts up to 160 currently. The models have shifted the last 36 hrs like never before. My fellow Floridians might not like the 8 pm model that has just come out:



TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneivan; ivan; moredoomandgloom; morerainanyone; myfavoritedramaqueen
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To: My Favorite Headache

Could you give me the website that you got this from? Thanks


41 posted on 09/07/2004 6:17:27 PM PDT by Tampa Caver
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To: My Favorite Headache

I like the green track and for Ivan to die a death in the Atlantic.


42 posted on 09/07/2004 6:18:13 PM PDT by WoodstockCat
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To: My Favorite Headache

I'll take green for fifty.


43 posted on 09/07/2004 6:18:38 PM PDT by snooker
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To: billva

Most of the model sites on the web are terrible; either they are slow to update and show old models, they only show a few models, or they show way too many models (many of which are old, useless, and ignored by NHC) and don't label them.

I've created my own model site which I update when I can, but it's just a COMCAST personal site and I'm dubious if it could take the hits from a FR link.


44 posted on 09/07/2004 6:19:08 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Tampa Caver

www.weatherunderground.com


45 posted on 09/07/2004 6:19:48 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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To: My Favorite Headache

im from CENTCOM (Tampa) so dont scream!!


Florida: The Clay Pigeons of the Atlantic!!!!!

sorry couldnt resist....

This one will either hit the panhandle or go further west than that (I pray)


46 posted on 09/07/2004 6:19:56 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (Free Republic - Only as "free" as those that post on it want it to be!!!)
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To: Strategerist

And what does your model show for a route?


47 posted on 09/07/2004 6:20:38 PM PDT by billva
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To: billva

I don't have any models of my own; Just better plots of the existing models.

At the moment there's a spread from the Central GOM to the Bahamas, with FL in the middle.


48 posted on 09/07/2004 6:23:13 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

Ivan def. going WNW now...the shift a bit more north has started:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


49 posted on 09/07/2004 6:25:34 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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To: mhking; My Favorite Headache; NautiNurse

Good Grief, folks............


50 posted on 09/07/2004 6:25:58 PM PDT by Gabz (HURRAY!!!!!!!! School started today!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: RepublicanHippy

Got through to my mother in law in Plantation on Sunday.(about 20 minutes away if you're familiar with the area. Lost power for a day, but other than that she seemed to think the area fared well.


51 posted on 09/07/2004 6:26:39 PM PDT by freeangel (freeangel)
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To: My Favorite Headache

I got this at http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm9/projectedpath_large.html?from=home.

52 posted on 09/07/2004 6:28:12 PM PDT by GrandmaC (http://home.earthlink.net/~grandmac2 or http://home.earthlink.net/~tanzaniateam)
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To: Joe Brower

Sigh, another weekend locked in a boarded up house..

Well if these models hold out the last of the state that has not been greatly affected by a hurricane (Dade didn't get much, either did the keys) will be toast.

Like I said, Florida is closed til further notice.


53 posted on 09/07/2004 6:30:11 PM PDT by Brytani (A changing mind is a terrible thing to waste - Vote John Kerry)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
I guess they got a little roof Damage, I call tomorrow.
54 posted on 09/07/2004 6:30:54 PM PDT by cmsgop ( Bong Hits, Fraggle Rock Reruns and DU is no way to go through Life..........)
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To: My Favorite Headache
Yippeeee. Another possibility for NC. The only problem is that there is no place known as Cape Fear, NC. The weather people made it up. There's a little town right at the mouth of the river that is named Southport. That little town has withstood many hurricanes and I'm sure will be around for a long time to come.
55 posted on 09/07/2004 6:34:08 PM PDT by dstarr (Proud widow of a Vietnam War and Korean War veteran)
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To: My Favorite Headache

It was traveling WNW in order to nail Grenada, but the last few frames of that look due west to me.


56 posted on 09/07/2004 6:34:30 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: My Favorite Headache

Which model gave the most-accurate predictions for Frances?


57 posted on 09/07/2004 6:34:52 PM PDT by expatpat
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To: My Favorite Headache

That's pretty scary. I hope the danged thing peters out and heads into the Atlantic.

Hurricane forecasting is a very uncertain art.


58 posted on 09/07/2004 6:35:13 PM PDT by Palladin (Proud to be a FReeper!)
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To: My Favorite Headache

The Cat4 Alert is really cute.


59 posted on 09/07/2004 6:35:41 PM PDT by dstarr (Proud widow of a Vietnam War and Korean War veteran)
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To: floriduh voter

Hi, fv, here's info on Ivan -- let's see how it looks Thurs/Fri. Are you on Joe Brower's FL ping list?


60 posted on 09/07/2004 6:36:54 PM PDT by cyn (prayers always for Terri Schiavo and her family.)
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