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Intelligence Agencies Fear Escalation of Violence
Der Spiegel ^ | Sept. 5, 2004 | Friedrich Kuhn

Posted on 09/05/2004 8:36:23 PM PDT by T Ruth

The brutality of the hostage-taking and the targeted murder of children has shocked even experienced professionals. According to the estimation of intelligence analysts, the Beslan perpetrators have reached a level of terrorism that can lead to even greater violence.

Berlin/Washington – Early analyses of the German intelligence agencies and the American CIA agree that an incredible escalation in terrorist attacks has shown itself in the Beslan school in the Russian Republic of North Ostien.

Until now, children have been substantially protected in all the attacks of the international terrorist organizations. The increasing brutality is now to be expected from the terrorists of the al quaida network, who are certainly involved not only in Iraq, but also with the Chechen rebels. It is reported that among the terrorists of Beslan were ten arabs. The Russian news agency ITAR-Tass reports that the hostage-taking was financed by Abu Omar As-Sejf, an arab representative of al-quaida in Chechnya.

German agencies have been interested for some time in the connections between the muslim Caucasus-separatists living in Germany and the locals in Chechnya. An intelligence analyst said that it has become apparent that a large number of islamic extremists who were living in Germany were devoted to the struggle for freedom of the Chechens.

Pro-Chechen extremists had for this reason left Germany some time ago for the North Caucasus. Also, funds are continually being raised in Germany for the fighters in Chechnya. In this manner, Germany has “somehow fallen into the dangerous ambit of Chechnya.”

According to CIA circles, a substantial number of al quaida activists have infiltrated Iraq and are fighting in the ranks of the Iraqi resistance. A similar phenomenon has been observed in Chechnya. A CIA analyst said the country, like the entire North Caucasus region, was being used as a test area to determine how far political decisions of governments can be influenced through a gruesome campaign against the civilian population. The Chechens want to force Russian President Vladimir Putin to his knees. They intend for him to sign a treaty to withdraw his soldiers from Chechnya.

The CIA agent recalled Spain, where islamic terrorists directly intervened in domestic Spanish politics by the March 11 attacks on the suburban trains of Madrid, and caused a change of administration from conservative to socialist. The latter recalled its soldiers from Iraq. Al quaida, which acknowledged [making] the attacks, achieved its objective, that a western country withdraw from the arabian sphere of influence.

The president of the German intelligence service, August Hanning, aroused attention last week by a public speech. Contrary to his usual reticence, he made known that he fears a major al quaida attack in the USA before the American presidential election in November. He said, however, that an attack could also take place in a country allied with the USA. Hanning said that al quaida had completely re-constituted itself organizationally and personnel-wise.

Security circles interpreted the weekend statements of the head of the German intelligence service to mean that the services fear that al quaida, with its support of the Chechen rebels, is pursuing a new world-wide strategy: to use attacks of the most brutal kind to influence elections, so as to spread islam over the entire world. Especially at present, attacks on Russian installations such as embassies are feared, even in Germany.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Russia; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alquaida; beslan; ossetia; russia; terrorism
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Interesting article from a liberal German magazine. The author does not shrink from stating the case baldly: "al quaida . . . is pursuing a new world-wide strategy: to use attacks of the most brutal kind to influence elections, so as to spread islam over the entire world."
1 posted on 09/05/2004 8:36:28 PM PDT by T Ruth
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To: T Ruth

yes, but he links Iraq to the Chechen "quagmire." Look for that to become a Dhimmicrat talking-point.


2 posted on 09/05/2004 8:41:26 PM PDT by pierrem15
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To: T Ruth
Until now, children have been substantially protected in all the attacks of the international terrorist organizations.

Evidently young Israeli children don't qualify by German standards.

3 posted on 09/05/2004 8:42:58 PM PDT by randog (What the....?!)
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To: randog

Good observation.


4 posted on 09/05/2004 8:45:43 PM PDT by T Ruth
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To: T Ruth

5 posted on 09/05/2004 8:45:46 PM PDT by formercalifornian (Democrat platform: Hate, hate, hate, hate, tolerance, hate, hate, hate, hate)
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To: T Ruth

A Beslan or Madrid style attack would not be impossible in the US. I also expect them to launch such an attack before the elections. How much it affects the election would be hard to predict; immediately before election day would probably provoke more voters to pull the lever for Bush. If it happened a few weeks before, the Dems would have time to play it to their advantage, and it might tip it the other way.

Since our southern and northern borders are essentially open to anyone willing to walk cross-country, it won't be impossible to filter a few dozen suicide commandos into the country, and if I am right they are already here and have been here a while.

September 11 is coming up, and it doesn't take a genius to imagine they might like to mark that date with a reprise.

Pray and keep your powder dry.


6 posted on 09/05/2004 8:50:19 PM PDT by marron
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To: randog

I was hoping someone would point that out. Thanks.


7 posted on 09/05/2004 8:53:30 PM PDT by Bahbah
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To: marron

Unfortunately, your post is all too accurate.


8 posted on 09/05/2004 8:55:34 PM PDT by T Ruth
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To: Bahbah; xzins; Alamo-Girl; veronica; Catspaw

FYI.......ping


9 posted on 09/05/2004 8:56:21 PM PDT by maestro
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To: randog
Evidently young Israeli children don't qualify by German standards.

You're right, they didn't and don't. It wasn't that long ago that young Jewish children went up the smokestacks at Treblinka, Auschwitz-Birkenau, Dachau, Chelmno, Sobibor, Belzek and Majdanek, along with their mothers, fathers, grandparents,,,
10 posted on 09/05/2004 8:57:24 PM PDT by RonHolzwarth ("History repeats itself - first as tragedy, then as farce" - Karl Marx)
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To: T Ruth
"al quaida . . . is pursuing a new world-wide strategy: to use attacks of the most brutal kind to influence elections, so as to spread islam over the entire world."

His head is stuck in the sand... Al Qaida was building a world wide network for exactly this purpose well before 9/11, and well before the Russian school.

It certainly wasn't a network designed to spread love and good will.

11 posted on 09/05/2004 9:03:18 PM PDT by coconutt2000
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To: T Ruth
Until now, children have been substantially protected in all the attacks of the international terrorist organizations.

"Substantially protected", my @ss.

Israeli children & their mothers have been targeted. In other instances children were only "collateral damage", but they certainly weren't protected.

The real difference is that now they have been specifically targeted.

Where is the UN ? What do you say Kofi, old boy ? Should we all sing "kumbaya" over the dead bodies ?

Hopefully, the Russians will not be bashful about retaliation.

If Pres. Bush could forge an alliance against terror with the Russians, it might be the only good thing to come out of this.

12 posted on 09/05/2004 9:03:27 PM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: CurlyDave
If Pres. Bush could forge an alliance against terror with the Russians, it might be the only good thing to come out of this.

Yes. An alliance on cultural, or perhaps better, "civilizational" grounds might be more fruitful and lasting than the WWII alliance against the Nazis.

13 posted on 09/05/2004 9:12:16 PM PDT by T Ruth
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To: maestro

Thanks for the ping!


14 posted on 09/05/2004 9:13:48 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: T Ruth
I would settle for a pragmatic alliance against a common threat for starters.

I have been to Russia and did business with Russians for several years. We have much more in common than we have differences.

15 posted on 09/05/2004 9:16:15 PM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: marron

All those OTM's crossing our southern border doesn't give one much peace of mind, does it.


16 posted on 09/05/2004 9:20:17 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: T Ruth
...reached a level of terrorism that can lead to even greater violence.

It darn well should lead to a BIG escalation in the violence is all I have to say about it.

17 posted on 09/05/2004 9:25:45 PM PDT by San Jacinto
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To: CurlyDave
I'd settle just for the Russians not giving nuclear technology to the nutjob terrorist masters in Iran.

I've been asking for a year now. Not an inch so far.

18 posted on 09/05/2004 9:32:20 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: marron
I believe that any and all schools that have had major work done to them over the summer MUST have bomb sniffing dogs run through the schools. This terrorist bunch had access to the school during the remodeling of the Belsan School and they stashed explosives and ammo under the new gym floor. This might be what their plan is for our voting period.

Tell me what would make it even more horrible than just having an American school of 1000 children being held by Islamics terrorists?

It would be more horrible (to some) if they do it when Americans are suppose to be voting at the polls for our next president. Even though it probably would not work on most of us, but they think it would influence they way the American people would vote. Simply take a school and the children hostage on 11/1/04 and demand that if Bush wins they will blow up the school with all the children in it, and claim if Bush does not win they will let the children go. They also know that elections might be held off, but they will demand if it is, then the school goes up with all the children in it. There is no way we could enter the school as they would have it wired up just like they did in Belsan. The thing is MOST American people are more rational, but now we totally see that terrorist will kill anyone no matter what age they are. They think it is helping their cause, but we all know (and now some other countries are waking up) that it does not. What could it hurt if the government ran bomb sniffing dogs through schools that were remodeled over the summer? Start with them first and then start checking other schools that have not been remodeled over the summer.
19 posted on 09/05/2004 9:32:37 PM PDT by stlnative (We are going to win one for the Gipper, and they are going to lose one with the Flipper)
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To: T Ruth

Time to get real nasty with these Animals.


20 posted on 09/05/2004 9:34:58 PM PDT by Fast1
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