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October terrorist surprise?
Washington Times ^ | Sunday, September 5, 2004 | By Max Boot

Posted on 09/04/2004 10:37:48 PM PDT by JohnHuang2

The eyes of the political world were on New York Thursday as President Bush delivered his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention. But, with foreign policy occupying center stage in a presidential election for the first time since 1972, the outcome of the election may hinge less on what the president does in New York than on what our enemies do in Kabul and Baghdad. Mr. Bush is running as the man who liberated Afghanistan and Iraq. But despite initial U.S. military victories and considerable progress toward democracy (Afghans will vote Oct. 9; Iraqis by Jan. 30), both countries face vicious insurgencies whose ultimate outcome is unknowable.

(Excerpt) Read more at washtimes.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: jihadinamerica; maxboot; novemberattack; octobersurprise

1 posted on 09/04/2004 10:37:48 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: JohnHuang2

Good article, Mr. H2! How ya doing tonight???


2 posted on 09/04/2004 10:53:10 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: Brad's Gramma

There you are! ;-)


3 posted on 09/04/2004 10:57:11 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: Brad's Gramma

Doing just fine, btw. Thanks for asking, my friend.


4 posted on 09/04/2004 10:57:29 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: JohnHuang2
Good article.

You might want to include this in the time line also. I read this in a column about the Islamist takeover of that Russian school:

"Fathers will bury their children, and after 40 days (the Orthodox mourning period) ... they will take up weapons and seek revenge," said Alan Kargiyev, a 20-year-old university student in Vladikavkaz.
5 posted on 09/04/2004 11:08:49 PM PDT by BabsC
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To: JohnHuang2

Oh, John...I lurk all the time! Why, if you'd turn your body around in your chair.........

Ha!


6 posted on 09/04/2004 11:16:17 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: BabsC

Let's not forget the date....and let's ALL remember to pray for those families.


7 posted on 09/04/2004 11:16:59 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: JohnHuang2; Travis McGee; Jeff Head
October terrorist surprise?

I think it very, very, very likely ... or even September to swing things ... Americans need to be watchful ...

and I don't mean watching the Amish ...
8 posted on 09/04/2004 11:31:44 PM PDT by Bobby777
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To: JohnHuang2
Boot seems to think that there is an enemy force in Iraq that actually is capable of the large scale offensive he talks about. There isn't. Sadr's group was supposed to fulfill that role and they ultimately failed. And they failed without ever engaging in what a reasonable person could honestly describe as a pitched battle. Basically whenever our troops got close enough we killed them. They were unable to respond in kind.

Unless Boot knows something I don't, I just don't see where this October Surprise is supposed to come from. Both Sadr City (where a huge and popular sewage line project is under construction under American auspices) and Fallujah are cordoned off. Where are these enemy troops operating out of? I don't see any way the enemy can dramatically increase the number of American dead in the next two months. Like I say, Sadr was supposed to do that, and he failed. A few car bombs, taking out a few American troops, are not going to sway the American electorate in the way Boot fears, and those are the only kinds of operations the enemy seems capable of currently.

9 posted on 09/04/2004 11:38:52 PM PDT by beckett
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To: Bobby777

Darned right. We all know it's those Methodists.


10 posted on 09/04/2004 11:39:25 PM PDT by WestVirginiaRebel ("John Kerry sees two Americas. It's mutual. America sees two John Kerrys.")
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Whether it's al Qaeda or not, I do believe some morons will kidnap Americans just before Election Day and tell the world they will kill the hostages if George W. Bush is reelected. And we all know that a decent % of swing voters are weak-minded like the Spanish public...


11 posted on 09/04/2004 11:44:22 PM PDT by tgiles
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To: beckett

I think the September-October surprise would be in CONUS ... that would have the most effect ... I don't think they'll get an airplane again. Certainly not a jetliner from the USA. But they have been busy little beavers, filmimg buildings, power plants, refineries, etc.


12 posted on 09/04/2004 11:53:32 PM PDT by Bobby777
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To: Bobby777; Squantos; Joe Brower; sit-rep; pocat; the irate magistrate; Fred Mertz; Lion Den Dan; ...

Although the possibility exists of a Sept/Oct event. Election day is square in the sights. Bombing of polls? Snipers outside polling places?


13 posted on 09/05/2004 6:28:02 AM PDT by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: JohnHuang2
September is their favorite month.
14 posted on 09/05/2004 6:58:37 AM PDT by fso301
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To: Bobby777
I think the September-October surprise would be in CONUS ...

Could be, but that's not what Boot is saying. He is clearly talking about enemy activity in Iraq or Afghanistan.

15 posted on 09/05/2004 8:34:22 AM PDT by beckett
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To: SLB
Citizens militia counter-teams are standing by, ready, willing and able to assist the local constabulary at a moment's notice.

Click the Gadsden flag for pro-gun resources!

16 posted on 09/05/2004 9:34:15 AM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism.)
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