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SurveyUSA: Momentum Shifts to Bush; Big GOP Bounce After RNC Convention
Business Wire/SurveyUSA ^ | September 3, 2004

Posted on 09/03/2004 10:31:53 PM PDT by Brandon

September 03, 2004 09:30 PM US Eastern Timezone



SurveyUSA: Momentum Shifts to Bush; Big GOP Bounce After RNC Convention

VERONA, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 3, 2004--The number of Americans who think George W. Bush will be re-elected in November has suddenly jumped 10 to 20 points in dozens of cities around the country, according to SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted before, during and after the Democratic and Republican National Conventions.

SurveyUSA has been asking respondents not who they will vote for, but rather: who they think will win the presidential election in November. This question is more sensitive to changes in sentiment, and is designed to capture "momentum" swings more precisely than preference questions asked of likely voters. Tracking polls released today, 9/3/04, the day after the Republican National Convention ended, show sizeable swings in the public consciousness.

Examples:

-- In New York City, the number of adults who say Bush will win jumped from 39% on 7/22 (the week before the DNC) to 58% today: 19 points up for Bush, 17 points down for Kerry.

-- In Los Angeles, the number who say Bush will win jumped from 38% on 7/22 to 59% today: 21 points up for Bush, 18 points down for Kerry.

-- In Pittsburgh, Bush went from 44% to 64%: 20 points up for Bush, 19 points down for Kerry.

Each poll was conducted of an entire metropolitan area, known as a TV market, and defined by Nielsen Media Research as the "Designated Market Area" (DMA). In no metropolitan area, in any part of the country, did Kerry's numbers go up. Four separate polls of 500 adults each were conducted in 30 TV markets and in 2 states. (128 discrete pieces of opinion research; 64,000 separate telephone interviews.) Each survey has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5%.

The polls were conducted:

-- 7/22/04: The week before the DNC

-- 7/30/04: The day after Kerry's acceptance speech

-- 8/26/04: The week before the RNC

-- 9/3/04: The day after Bush's acceptance speech.

"The Democrats are eviscerated," says Jay H. Leve, Editor of SurveyUSA. "Even in the most solidly Democratic corners of this country, a majority of adults suddenly believe that George W. Bush will win in November."


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004polls; bushbounce; edwardsclinton04; gwb2004; kewl; polls; rncconvention; susa
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Be sure to follow the original link; there's a table that gives the data city by city, but I couldn't figure out how to import it so it would be readable. Anyone who is more html savvy than I is welcome to do so.
1 posted on 09/03/2004 10:31:53 PM PDT by Brandon
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To: Brandon

Bump


2 posted on 09/03/2004 10:33:34 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi)
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To: Dales

FYI, and inviting your comments. Is any of this really meaningful, or is it just eyewash?


3 posted on 09/03/2004 10:33:39 PM PDT by Brandon
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To: Brandon
"The Democrats are eviscerated," says Jay H. Leve, Editor of SurveyUSA. "Even in the most solidly Democratic corners of this country, a majority of adults suddenly believe that George W. Bush will win in November."

Put Terry McLowlife on suicide watch!!!!

4 posted on 09/03/2004 10:33:50 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Time's fun when you're having flies. -- Kermit the Frog)
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To: Brandon
Tracking data:

List Ranked by Size
of TV Market as                                                      
Defined by Nielsen          
Media Research;      Who Will                                         
DMA=Designated       Win in      BEFORE  AFTER   BEFORE AFTER SIZE OF 
Market Area          November?    DNC     DNC     RNC    RNC  'BOUNCE'
------------------------------------------------------------- --------
TV Market     Sponsor           7/22/04 7/30/04 8/26/04 9/3/04
------------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------ -------
New York City 
 DMA          WABC-TV  Bush        39%     39%     39%    58%    + 19%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       54%     57%     53%    37%    - 17%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Los Angeles   
 DMA          KABC-TV  Bush        38%     48%     51%    59%    + 21%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       56%     48%     46%    38%    - 18%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Philadelphia  
 DMA          WCAU-TV  Bush        40%     36%     44%    54%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       53%     60%     52%    43%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Boston DMA    WBZ-TV   Bush        45%     37%     44%    56%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       49%     59%     50%    39%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Detroit DMA   WDIV-TV  Bush        47%     43%     41%    56%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     54%    39%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Houston DMA   KPRC-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    69%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       42%     42%     39%    29%    - 13%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Seattle DMA   KING-TV  Bush        44%     45%     38%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     48%     56%    42%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Phoenix DMA   KPNX-TV  Bush        54%     53%     62%    60%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     43%     33%    35%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Denver DMA    KUSA-TV  Bush        49%     50%     55%    63%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     44%     41%    33%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Pittsburgh    
 DMA          KDKA-TV  Bush        44%     46%     49%    64%    + 20%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     49%     47%    33%    - 19%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
St. Louis DMA KSDK-TV  Bush        45%     45%     46%    57%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       48%     50%     50%    40%      -8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Baltimore DMA WMAR-TV  Bush        48%     41%     50%    60%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     55%     45%    36%      -9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Indianapolis  
 DMA          WXIN-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    61%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     44%     38%    36%      -4%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Diego DMA KGTV-TV  Bush        51%     58%     52%    61%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       44%     33%     43%    34%     -10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Charlotte DMA WBTV-TV  Bush        58%     53%     58%    65%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     43%     39%    32%      -5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Raleigh NC    
 DMA          WTVD-TV  Bush        44%     48%     45%    59%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     49%     51%    37%     -14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Antonio   
 DMA          WOAI-TV  Bush        55%     53%     56%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     42%     39%    31%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Grand Rapids  
 DMA          WZZM-TV  Bush        50%     53%     54%    56%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     42%     41%    39%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Buffalo DMA   WGRZ-TV  Bush        44%     41%     48%    56%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     55%     48%    40%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Oklahoma City 
 DMA          KFOR-TV  Bush        61%     56%     64%    76%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     32%    22%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Providence RI 
 DMA          WLNE-TV  Bush        37%     32%     41%    51%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       59%     61%     54%    45%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Louisville    
 DMA          WHAS-TV  Bush        56%     56%     56%    68%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     40%     40%    28%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Jacksonville  
 DMA          WTLV-TV  Bush        60%     65%     62%    68%     + 8%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     31%     34%    27%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Las Vegas DMA KVBC-TV  Bush        44%     47%     46%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     50%     48%    40%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Mobile AL DMA WKRG-TV  Bush        63%     60%     61%    69%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     36%    29%     - 5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Knoxville DMA WBIR-TV  Bush        60%     56%     60%    69%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     35%    28%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Wichita DMA   KWCH-TV  Bush        61%     59%     66%    70%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     29%    27%     - 7%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Des Moines    
 DMA          WHO-TV   Bush        49%     47%     50%    58%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     49%     45%    37%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Tucson DMA    KVOA-TV  Bush        50%     44%     50%    60%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     53%     45%    37%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Spokane DMA   KHQ-TV   Bush        55%     57%     59%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     38%     36%    30%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of      
 Maine        WCSH-TV  Bush        46%     42%     47%    57%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     54%     47%    39%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of PA   WNEP-TV  Bush        47%     45%     51%    59%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     44%    36%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------


5 posted on 09/03/2004 10:35:17 PM PDT by flashbunny (Hey - click on my name to see an anti-kerry bumper sticker! Do it! Now!!!)
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To: Brandon
Tracking data:

List Ranked by Size
of TV Market as                                                      
Defined by Nielsen          
Media Research;      Who Will                                         
DMA=Designated       Win in      BEFORE  AFTER   BEFORE AFTER SIZE OF 
Market Area          November?    DNC     DNC     RNC    RNC  'BOUNCE'
------------------------------------------------------------- --------
TV Market     Sponsor           7/22/04 7/30/04 8/26/04 9/3/04
------------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------ -------
New York City 
 DMA          WABC-TV  Bush        39%     39%     39%    58%    + 19%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       54%     57%     53%    37%    - 17%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Los Angeles   
 DMA          KABC-TV  Bush        38%     48%     51%    59%    + 21%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       56%     48%     46%    38%    - 18%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Philadelphia  
 DMA          WCAU-TV  Bush        40%     36%     44%    54%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       53%     60%     52%    43%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Boston DMA    WBZ-TV   Bush        45%     37%     44%    56%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       49%     59%     50%    39%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Detroit DMA   WDIV-TV  Bush        47%     43%     41%    56%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     54%    39%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Houston DMA   KPRC-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    69%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       42%     42%     39%    29%    - 13%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Seattle DMA   KING-TV  Bush        44%     45%     38%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     48%     56%    42%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Phoenix DMA   KPNX-TV  Bush        54%     53%     62%    60%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     43%     33%    35%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Denver DMA    KUSA-TV  Bush        49%     50%     55%    63%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     44%     41%    33%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Pittsburgh    
 DMA          KDKA-TV  Bush        44%     46%     49%    64%    + 20%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     49%     47%    33%    - 19%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
St. Louis DMA KSDK-TV  Bush        45%     45%     46%    57%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       48%     50%     50%    40%      -8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Baltimore DMA WMAR-TV  Bush        48%     41%     50%    60%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     55%     45%    36%      -9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Indianapolis  
 DMA          WXIN-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    61%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     44%     38%    36%      -4%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Diego DMA KGTV-TV  Bush        51%     58%     52%    61%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       44%     33%     43%    34%     -10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Charlotte DMA WBTV-TV  Bush        58%     53%     58%    65%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     43%     39%    32%      -5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Raleigh NC    
 DMA          WTVD-TV  Bush        44%     48%     45%    59%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     49%     51%    37%     -14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Antonio   
 DMA          WOAI-TV  Bush        55%     53%     56%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     42%     39%    31%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Grand Rapids  
 DMA          WZZM-TV  Bush        50%     53%     54%    56%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     42%     41%    39%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Buffalo DMA   WGRZ-TV  Bush        44%     41%     48%    56%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     55%     48%    40%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Oklahoma City 
 DMA          KFOR-TV  Bush        61%     56%     64%    76%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     32%    22%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Providence RI 
 DMA          WLNE-TV  Bush        37%     32%     41%    51%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       59%     61%     54%    45%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Louisville    
 DMA          WHAS-TV  Bush        56%     56%     56%    68%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     40%     40%    28%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Jacksonville  
 DMA          WTLV-TV  Bush        60%     65%     62%    68%     + 8%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     31%     34%    27%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Las Vegas DMA KVBC-TV  Bush        44%     47%     46%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     50%     48%    40%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Mobile AL DMA WKRG-TV  Bush        63%     60%     61%    69%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     36%    29%     - 5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Knoxville DMA WBIR-TV  Bush        60%     56%     60%    69%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     35%    28%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Wichita DMA   KWCH-TV  Bush        61%     59%     66%    70%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     29%    27%     - 7%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Des Moines    
 DMA          WHO-TV   Bush        49%     47%     50%    58%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     49%     45%    37%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Tucson DMA    KVOA-TV  Bush        50%     44%     50%    60%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     53%     45%    37%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Spokane DMA   KHQ-TV   Bush        55%     57%     59%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     38%     36%    30%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of      
 Maine        WCSH-TV  Bush        46%     42%     47%    57%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     54%     47%    39%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of PA   WNEP-TV  Bush        47%     45%     51%    59%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     44%    36%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------

SurveyUSA is the nation's largest public opinion pollster. SurveyUSA does true random-sample telephone opinion polling for 50 TV stations under long-term exclusive contract. Results of these surveys are not intended to forecast the outcome of the presidential election in November nor predict how respondents would vote in an election "today"; rather, results here are intended solely to measure shifts in momentum, which can reveal much about the public's collective psyche. Momentum can and does change in a campaign, sometimes dramatically. Events may well happen during this campaign to shift momentum back to the Democrats just as suddenly as it has here shifted to the Republicans. Results presented here should not be confused with SurveyUSA Election Polls, which are conducted over a longer field period, and which tightly screen for registered and likely voters, and which do in fact ask respondents how they would vote in an election "today."


6 posted on 09/03/2004 10:36:22 PM PDT by Slicksadick (He's French. His hairdresser also grooms poodles. He's a rich woman's pet. That cover's it)
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To: Brandon
List Ranked by Size
of TV Market as                                                      
Defined by Nielsen          
Media Research;      Who Will                                         
DMA=Designated       Win in      BEFORE  AFTER   BEFORE AFTER SIZE OF 
Market Area          November?    DNC     DNC     RNC    RNC  'BOUNCE'
------------------------------------------------------------- --------
TV Market     Sponsor           7/22/04 7/30/04 8/26/04 9/3/04
------------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------- ------ -------
New York City 
 DMA          WABC-TV  Bush        39%     39%     39%    58%    + 19%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       54%     57%     53%    37%    - 17%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Los Angeles   
 DMA          KABC-TV  Bush        38%     48%     51%    59%    + 21%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       56%     48%     46%    38%    - 18%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Philadelphia  
 DMA          WCAU-TV  Bush        40%     36%     44%    54%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       53%     60%     52%    43%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Boston DMA    WBZ-TV   Bush        45%     37%     44%    56%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       49%     59%     50%    39%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Detroit DMA   WDIV-TV  Bush        47%     43%     41%    56%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     54%    39%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Houston DMA   KPRC-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    69%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       42%     42%     39%    29%    - 13%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Seattle DMA   KING-TV  Bush        44%     45%     38%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     48%     56%    42%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Phoenix DMA   KPNX-TV  Bush        54%     53%     62%    60%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     43%     33%    35%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Denver DMA    KUSA-TV  Bush        49%     50%     55%    63%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     44%     41%    33%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Pittsburgh    
 DMA          KDKA-TV  Bush        44%     46%     49%    64%    + 20%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     49%     47%    33%    - 19%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
St. Louis DMA KSDK-TV  Bush        45%     45%     46%    57%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       48%     50%     50%    40%      -8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Baltimore DMA WMAR-TV  Bush        48%     41%     50%    60%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     55%     45%    36%      -9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Indianapolis  
 DMA          WXIN-TV  Bush        54%     54%     57%    61%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     44%     38%    36%      -4%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Diego DMA KGTV-TV  Bush        51%     58%     52%    61%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       44%     33%     43%    34%     -10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Charlotte DMA WBTV-TV  Bush        58%     53%     58%    65%     + 7%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     43%     39%    32%      -5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Raleigh NC    
 DMA          WTVD-TV  Bush        44%     48%     45%    59%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     49%     51%    37%     -14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
San Antonio   
 DMA          WOAI-TV  Bush        55%     53%     56%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       40%     42%     39%    31%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Grand Rapids  
 DMA          WZZM-TV  Bush        50%     53%     54%    56%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     42%     41%    39%     - 6%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Buffalo DMA   WGRZ-TV  Bush        44%     41%     48%    56%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       52%     55%     48%    40%    - 12%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Oklahoma City 
 DMA          KFOR-TV  Bush        61%     56%     64%    76%    + 15%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     32%    22%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Providence RI 
 DMA          WLNE-TV  Bush        37%     32%     41%    51%    + 14%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       59%     61%     54%    45%    - 14%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Louisville    
 DMA          WHAS-TV  Bush        56%     56%     56%    68%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     40%     40%    28%     - 9%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Jacksonville  
 DMA          WTLV-TV  Bush        60%     65%     62%    68%     + 8%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       37%     31%     34%    27%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Las Vegas DMA KVBC-TV  Bush        44%     47%     46%    55%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       51%     50%     48%    40%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Mobile AL DMA WKRG-TV  Bush        63%     60%     61%    69%     + 6%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     36%    29%     - 5%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Knoxville DMA WBIR-TV  Bush        60%     56%     60%    69%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       36%     40%     35%    28%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Wichita DMA   KWCH-TV  Bush        61%     59%     66%    70%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       34%     37%     29%    27%     - 7%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Des Moines    
 DMA          WHO-TV   Bush        49%     47%     50%    58%     + 9%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     49%     45%    37%    - 10%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Tucson DMA    KVOA-TV  Bush        50%     44%     50%    60%    + 10%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       45%     53%     45%    37%     - 8%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
Spokane DMA   KHQ-TV   Bush        55%     57%     59%    67%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       41%     38%     36%    30%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of      
 Maine        WCSH-TV  Bush        46%     42%     47%    57%    + 11%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       50%     54%     47%    39%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------
State of PA   WNEP-TV  Bush        47%     45%     51%    59%    + 12%
------------- -----------------------------------------------
                       Kerry       47%     52%     44%    36%    - 11%
------------- ----------------------------------------------- --------


SurveyUSA is the nation's largest public opinion pollster. SurveyUSA does true random-sample telephone opinion polling for 50 TV stations under long-term exclusive contract. Results of these surveys are not intended to forecast the outcome of the presidential election in November nor predict how respondents would vote in an election "today"; rather, results here are intended solely to measure shifts in momentum, which can reveal much about the public's collective psyche. Momentum can and does change in a campaign, sometimes dramatically. Events may well happen during this campaign to shift momentum back to the Democrats just as suddenly as it has here shifted to the Republicans. Results presented here should not be confused with SurveyUSA Election Polls, which are conducted over a longer field period, and which tightly screen for registered and likely voters, and which do in fact ask respondents how they would vote in an election "today."

7 posted on 09/03/2004 10:36:51 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Slicksadick

Beat ya to it!


8 posted on 09/03/2004 10:37:52 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Beat ya to it also.


9 posted on 09/03/2004 10:38:21 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Brandon

In related news, the Constipation Party Candidate put out a press release attacking the speech made by the Bush daughers.


10 posted on 09/03/2004 10:38:26 PM PDT by CWOJackson
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To: Brandon
This not only indicates great momentum for Bush but demoralized Dems.

I wonder if this is the Zell Miller backlash? -hehheheheheheh

11 posted on 09/03/2004 10:38:38 PM PDT by DeFault User
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To: All
"The Democrats are eviscerated," says Jay H. Leve, Editor of SurveyUSA.

I had to look that word up and I like it [grin].

12 posted on 09/03/2004 10:38:52 PM PDT by Terp (Retired living in Philippines were the Mountains meet the Sea in the Land of Smiles)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

LOL, and mine got shrunk...


13 posted on 09/03/2004 10:39:08 PM PDT by Slicksadick (He's French. His hairdresser also grooms poodles. He's a rich woman's pet. That cover's it)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Not you, Brandon.


14 posted on 09/03/2004 10:39:56 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Iam1ru1-2
This is really big. Great Job!! The perception of a candidate as a "winner" is vital. Unfortunately too many people vote based on the sole criteria that they do not want to tell friends, "I voted for the guy that lost".
15 posted on 09/03/2004 10:40:20 PM PDT by Artemis Webb
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To: Terp

Put the dems on suicide watch. If this is reliable (hopefully) they are history.


16 posted on 09/03/2004 10:42:16 PM PDT by Adrastus (Eat dirt and die, Girlie man.)
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To: Brandon

The better take kerry's shoelaces away from him.
He's going to be bouncing off the walls. And expect TRex to go into seclusion.


17 posted on 09/03/2004 10:42:36 PM PDT by ProudVet77 (It ain't over till the TRex throws out TFailure.)
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To: Brandon
[Dumb Guy Al Gore Voice]
"Everything that should be up is down, everything that should be down is up"
[/Dumb Guy Al Gore Voice]
18 posted on 09/03/2004 10:43:29 PM PDT by Azzurri
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To: Brandon

Knowing how fickle people are, this should mean little or nothing. Kerry is in control of his campaign and probably at a point in the race where he has always expected to be.

He is a great closer. He has good command of the English and French languages and it showed in how he rallied his base at the midnight rally. Expect nothing but a hard battle with Kerry not giving up one more inch of ground.

Forcing him to change his tact and talk about his dismal Senate record or to lay out his vision is our only hope.


19 posted on 09/03/2004 10:45:11 PM PDT by SolomoninSouthDakota
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To: Brandon

Anything can happen in the next two months, but it's beginning to look like Kerry is toast.


20 posted on 09/03/2004 10:47:16 PM PDT by midftfan
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