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Swift Boats and the Lessons of Dukakis
New York Times ^ | 08/29/04 | ROBIN TONER

Posted on 08/28/2004 1:51:06 PM PDT by conservative in nyc

Swift Boats and the Lessons of Dukakis

By ROBIN TONER

Published: August 29, 2004

WASHINGTON — This is not the first time Senator John Kerry's advisers have heard the guns of August.

Sixteen years ago, several of them were working for Michael S. Dukakis, the Democratic nominee, who began the month with a substantial lead in the polls, only to see it disappear under a steady onslaught from the campaign of Vice President Bush, an onslaught aided by rumors and third-party attacks. Democrats bitterly complained that these outside attacks - including a baseless charge that Kitty Dukakis had once burned an American flag - were guided by an "invisible hand," as the late Kirk O'Donnell, a senior adviser to Mr. Dukakis, put it. The Bush campaign denied any involvement.

It was a searing experience, which helped forge the rapid-response Clinton campaign of 1992 - and helps explain the Kerry campaign's furious reaction to the attacks of a group of Swift boat veterans. The memory "really added to the decision-making on how to engage these kinds of scurrilous attacks," said Tad Devine, a senior adviser to Mr. Kerry and a Dukakis veteran. Mr. Dukakis himself said, in an interview, "This time, having learned from '88, nobody is going to sit around and let it happen."

Republicans point out that they are not the sole practitioners of political hardball. In fact, Ed Gillespie, the Republican chairman, has spent much of the year denouncing what he calls "political hate speech" by the Democrats.

It is all part of the seemingly endless reaction to 1988 - in retrospect, the first take-no-prisoners presidential campaign of the modern era. And for the Democrats it was a humiliating mismatch.

"You had a bunch of policy operatives who wanted to debate policy differences against Lee Atwater, Roger Ailes and the some of the toughest gunfighters we had on our side," said Ed Rollins, a veteran Republican strategist, describing the Dukakis campaign of 1988.

"Not this time," Mr. Rollins added. "Both sides are prepared to throw hand grenades and have been doing it for a long time."

As Mr. Dukakis has long acknowledged, he contributed to his August slide. Perhaps lulled by his 17-point edge in the polls after the Democratic convention, he spent much of the month in his home state and was slow to react when the charges started coming that he was soft on crime and insufficiently patriotic.

The Bush campaign portrayed Mr. Dukakis as a Massachusetts liberal who let criminals out on weekend furloughs and refused to require schoolchildren to say the Pledge of Allegiance. The Democrats campaign defended the policies - the furlough program had had bipartisan support, the policy on the pledge was the result of a Massachusetts court decision - but the legalistic responses were no match for the powerful imagery and rough attacks of the Republicans.

Charles Black, a senior Republican strategist who was close to Mr. Atwater, is one of many Republicans who argue that those issues were fair game, and that Mr. Dukakis was defeated not because of his tactical failures but because voters rejected his beliefs. "There's a big myth about the '88 election, that Dukakis was attacked and he did not respond," Mr. Black said.

"Lee figured out early on that Dukakis was what we used to call an honest liberal. That he would defend his positions on things like the death penalty. He did respond - but his answers put him outside the mainstream."

Mr. Bush recited the Pledge of Allegiance on the campaign trail and asked if Mr. Dukakis had a "problem" with it; Republicans constantly mocked the Massachusetts governor as a "card-carrying member of the A.C.L.U." An independent group ran television commercials showing a police photograph of Willie Horton, a black convicted murderer who brutally attacked a Maryland couple after escaping while on a weekend furlough from a Massachusetts prison.

At the same time, the Dukakis campaign was also scrambling to deal with a shadowy wave of rumors that seemed intended to raise doubts about a candidate who was still largely unknown. "You're fighting an invisible enemy as much as anything," said Susan Estrich, the Dukakis campaign manager, now a law professor at the University of Southern California.

One damaging rumor, that Mr. Dukakis had undergone psychiatric treatment, was pushed onto the front page when President Ronald Reagan was asked about it and joked that he didn't want to pick on "an invalid." Mr. Dukakis's advisers said later that he dropped 8 points in the polls after that report.

The campaign held a news conference with the candidate's doctor and released his medical records, all knocking down the story, but Ms. Estrich recalls, "The problem with rumors is the more you answer them, the more play they get."

The attacks never let up. The night before the election, as Mr. Dukakis flew back to Boston to await what was then a certain defeat, he stopped in Des Moines to refuel and speak to a sad crowd of Democrats. Even then, young Bush supporters turned out to chant the Pledge of Allegiance and shout, "Liberal! Liberal! Liberal!" Mr. Dukakis lost 40 states.

The rough lessons of 1988 took hold: Respond, hit back, leave no charge unanswered. Another lesson, which often gets lost, is that the way a campaign is conducted makes a difference. The senior Mr. Bush took office in January 1989 and immediately tried to strike a bipartisan, conciliatory tone. But the Democratic bitterness endured, and made the task of governing all the harder.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 1988; bush; dukakis; kerry; lessons; sbv; swiftboats; swiftboatveterans
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To: conservative in nyc
More Slimes spin, trying to tie the Swiftees to President Bush.

The Kerry campaign's way of fighting against the Swifties is to keep trying to blame it on Bush. If we let them keep that up, it will take hold with some of the sheeple.

We can't let that happen. We've got to continually fight this.

21 posted on 08/28/2004 2:35:27 PM PDT by jackbill
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To: conservative in nyc
I read this yesterday on a blog

Farewell John Kerry!

You sir, are a loser. You will go down in history as the man who made Dukakis look good.

ROFLMAO

22 posted on 08/28/2004 2:40:26 PM PDT by NavySEAL F-16 (Proud to be a Reagan Republican)
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To: conservative in nyc
The rough lessons of 1988 took hold: Respond, hit back, leave no charge unanswered.

Well, they aren't doing the last of the three very well.
23 posted on 08/28/2004 2:46:05 PM PDT by aruanan
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To: conservative in nyc
Good idea, NY Times. Connect Kerry to Dukakis so conservatives don't have to...
24 posted on 08/28/2004 2:54:15 PM PDT by Question_Assumptions
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To: conservative in nyc
These folks are losing it and have been for a long, long time:

Democrats bitterly complained that these outside attacks - including a baseless charge that Kitty Dukakis had once burned an American flag - were guided by an "invisible hand...."

"You're fighting an invisible enemy as much as anything," said Susan Estrich, the Dukakis campaign manager, now a law professor at the University of Southern California.

I see dead programs and tax cuts a growing economy and Dick Cheney and Karl Rove and the evil Newt and invisible enemies and free countries ... Help me I'm melting!

25 posted on 08/28/2004 3:04:15 PM PDT by catpuppy (Bring back the good old days of Jimmy Carter. Vote Kerry-Edwards!)
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To: conservative in nyc
It was a searing experience

There's that word again ....

26 posted on 08/28/2004 3:17:17 PM PDT by Brandon
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To: tiki

Don't forget the Walsh indictments RIGHT before the 1992 election. Of course the NYT "forgot" this.


27 posted on 08/28/2004 3:36:28 PM PDT by boop (Testing the tagline feature!)
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To: VOA

I couldn't believe they didn't mention the "I'm a dork in a tank" picture. That picture, and the famous question of the death penalty for someone who murdered his wife, are what sealed Dukakis' fate. Period.


28 posted on 08/28/2004 3:43:06 PM PDT by Terabitten (Father, grant me the strength to live a life worthy of those who came before me...)
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To: conservative in nyc
This a campaign that has learned all the wrong lessons from the 1988 Dukakis Campaign. If John "Effin'" Kerry's plight could be summed up in a bumper sticker, it would be, "Its The Liberalism, Stupid." Of course the New York Times liberals, with their focus on campaign strategy and tactics miss the big picture. Namely, that like Dukakis, Kerry is an extreme liberal outside the American mainstream. So let them continue to think that unfair Republican attacks doomed the Dukakis Campaign when in truth, Dukakis' soft on crime philosophy and recoiling fron the Pledge did him in just as Kerry Campaign is coming apart over his Vietnam lies and refusal to take a stand against gay marriage. Values matter. Liberals after all these years, still don't get why the country doesn't like liberal Democrats.
29 posted on 08/28/2004 3:58:49 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: vbmoneyspender
from: http://slate.msn.com/id/1003919/


Did Gore Hatch Horton?
Timothy Noah
Posted Monday, Nov. 1, 1999, at 8:06 AM PT


snip......

Gore did ask Dukakis, in a debate right before the 1988 New York primary, about "weekend passes for convicted criminals." Here is how Sidney Blumenthal, now a Clinton White House aide but then a reporter for the Washington Post, wrote it up a few months later:

An uncomfortable Dukakis, after dispassionately reciting statistics, conceded that the Massachusetts furlough program for murderers sentenced to life imprisonment had been canceled.

The issue did not take for Gore, but the exchange attracted the interest of Jim Pinkerton, the research director for the then flailing Bush campaign. "That's the first time I paid attention," said Pinkerton. "I thought to myself, 'This is incredible' ...It totally fell into our lap."

In reviewing this history, it's important to make some crucial distinctions. Gore never mentioned that Horton was black; indeed, he never mentioned Horton by name. He merely drew attention, correctly, to the damaging fact that Dukakis had tolerated a furlough program for especially violent criminals in his state even after a horrific incident strongly suggested this was a bad policy. It's conceivable, of course, that Gore was warming up for more explicit and racially tinged use of Horton's story later in the primary fight. But that would have been uncharacteristic of him. In any event, Gore dropped out of the race shortly after the debate.

30 posted on 08/28/2004 4:24:45 PM PDT by ThreePuttinDude (Cevapcici and Slivovitz......for everyone)
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To: ThreePuttinDude
damn, this is what I ment....DOH


Did Gore Hatch Horton?

31 posted on 08/28/2004 4:28:31 PM PDT by ThreePuttinDude (Cevapcici and Slivovitz......for everyone)
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To: ThreePuttinDude

Thanks for the reply


32 posted on 08/28/2004 4:34:57 PM PDT by vbmoneyspender
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To: conservative in nyc

What they don't mention is that one of the things that doomed Dukakis was his answer to Bernard Shaw's question about how Dukakis would react if his wife were raped and murdered. That was the very first question at that debate, and it sealed his fate.


33 posted on 08/29/2004 12:46:06 AM PDT by NYCVirago
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To: conservative in nyc

One other thing -- if Dukakis was so unfairly attacked, then why did the Kerry campaign not allow him to participate in the DNC in his own hometown?


34 posted on 08/29/2004 12:48:34 AM PDT by NYCVirago
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To: conservative in nyc
1988 - in retrospect, the first take-no-prisoners presidential campaign of the modern era.

I was quite young, but I seem to recall the campaigns of 1960 and 1964 being pretty brutal--the first with wholesale voter fraud (if Nixon would have been Algore, he'd have had no qualms about suing); the second painting Goldwater as a maniac just itching to pull the nuclear trigger.

35 posted on 08/29/2004 12:54:52 AM PDT by PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
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To: conservative in nyc

Democratic candidate John Kerry, who, by the way, was Dukakis' Lieutenant
Governor in liberal Massachusetts issued this statement today:

"Bush made a statement, and I'm supposed to respond? Can't you see I'm too busy
playing with my windsurf? Sure, they'll say I take too much vacation for a serious
candidate, but get Edwards to deliver a sound bite for me? What's he done recently?"

36 posted on 09/01/2004 5:58:44 AM PDT by OESY
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