New IBD/TIPP Poll: BUSH-44 KERRY-44; KERRY LOSES 6 PT LEAD FROM POST DNC POLL

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ ^

[Nascardude]

Sorry no link to any article. You can check out the numbers at Realclearpolitics. Anyways, this poll is bad news for John Kerry. And here's why:

IBD/TIPP POLL: 8/2-8/5 (POST DNC POLL)

KERRY: 49 BUSH: 43

CURRENT IBD/TIPP POLL: 8/17/823

KERRY: 44 BUSH: 44

Result- Kerry loses his 6 point lead that he got from the Democratic Convention.

In a 3 way race:

POST CONVENTION POLL:

KERRY: 45 BUSH: 42 NADER: 5

CURRENT POLL:

KERRY: 43 BUSH: 43 NADER: 5

RESULT: Kerry loses lead from the convention.

This is bad news for the Kerry folk as what little bounce Kerry may have gotten, if any, out of the Democratic Convention. And the Republicans have yet to have their convention.

[Lurking2Long]

Good new IF we can keep the RINOs off the stage...

[ambrose]

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Aug. 17-23, 2004. N=884 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
						.
"If the 2004 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat John Kerry or Republican George W. Bush?" Names rotated
						.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Not Sure		.
		%	%	%
	8/17-23/04	44	44	12
	8/2-5/04	43	49	9
	7/19-24/04	43	46	12
	7/12-17/04	41	44	15
	7/6-10/04	44	49	7
	6/14-19/04	44	44	13
	6/8-13/04	44	43	14
	6/1-6/04	45	44	12
	5/12-18/04	42	43	16
	3/8-11/04	46	43	12
						.
"If the 2004 election for United States president were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote? Would you say Democrat John Kerry, Republican George W. Bush or independent Ralph Nader?" Names rotated
						.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Ralph Nader	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/17-23/04	43	43	5	10
	8/2-5/04	42	45	5	8
	7/19-24/04	42	44	3	11
	7/12-17/04	40	42	4	15
	7/6-10/04	43	47	4	6
	6/14-19/04	44	41	6	10
	6/8-13/04	43	40	5	12
	6/1-6/04	43	41	7	9
	5/12-18/04	42	41	7	11
	5/2-8/04	46	41	5	7
	4/16-22/04	44	40	3	14
	4/14-19/04	44	40	4	13
	3/29 - 4/3/04	43	45	5	8
	3/8-11/04	45	40	6	8
	3/1-7/04	41	44	6	8

 

[ElkGroveDan]

Good news IF we can keep the RINOs off the stage...

Hate to tell you but this show is going to be a major RINO-fest, a great big circus tent. I bet even the ushers and concessioners are screened for potentially conservative views.

[Balding_Eagle]

Kerry's going to lose another 6-8% in the next two weeks. Bush will have a 6-8% bounce from the convention.

MSM headline after that 12-16% swing in voters:BUSH WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE OF KERRY!

[doug9732]

Look at it this way. President Bush is tied with a psycho-liar opponent. And you call this good news? Let's just say my enthusiasm is somewhat tempered by sobriety.

[Dog]

The Swifties are having an effect..

[Common Tator]

The Swifties are having an effect..

Actually one can make a case that Kerry is having an effect. Since the Swifties hit the national media, the meida has been putting lots of footage of Kerry on the Screens. Not just video of Kerry but video with audio of kerry speaking about Bush and Swifties.

The more Kerry is on TV and talking.. the worse his poll numbers become.

[gilliam]

The Swifties are having an effect..

Not sure of that. If they are having an effect, I would expect a much bigger bounce for Bush.

I expect that the Dem's spin is getting out more than the Swifties' meessage.

You all need to work harder.

[dwilli]

Zell Miller would look very strange on the platform by himself.

[QQQQQ]

The real problem is the 10-12% undecided voters.

Undecided Voters Likely to Select Kerry in November Election, Finds GMI World Poll

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1198593/posts

[the Real fifi]

Anyone who hasn't made u p his mind yet is to stupid to make it to the polls.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Not sure of that. If they are having an effect, I would expect a much bigger bounce for Bush.

The effect of the ads is seen in Kerry's decline among Vets and some "undecideds"

This decline opens an opportunity for a Bush "bounce"--- after the convention.

Patience. This is a marathon, not a sprint.

[sonofatpatcher2]

Print out and wear as a Campaign Button or go HERE to print.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Don't ya know..being "undecided" has become a badge of honor. I doubt the number is as high as reported. After all, a high "undecided" number keeps Kerry's campaign alive.

[Owen]

[pulls out wrinkled paper from pocket and reads]

Folks, worrying or celebrating are both wrong. Please take action. Please call the campaign and volunteer to register voters in GOP neighborhoods. That is the only activism that matters at this point. We have to expand the size of the voting universe and the expansion must be GOP.

[replaces paper in pocket and moves to next poll thread]

[Lurking2Long]

LOL!

[WestVirginiaRebel]

You'd think that the "Undecideds" would make perfect Kerry voters. They would vote for him, before they voted against him.

BTW, Drudge is reporting that Kerry called one of the Swift Boat Vets and basically whined at him. Go to Drudge for the text of the call. And the Lurch meltdown continues...

[BunnySlippers]

Lookie ...

[BunnySlippers]

But we're going to have ARNOLD bringing in new voters (hopefully). I know you're thrilled. ;-)