Vanity Post: Is it time to panic?

Election Projection 2004 ^

[RedStateWarrior]

I'm a hard numbers kind of guy. I follow the state polls every evening after I get home from work, and there's a disturbing trend developing right now: most projections give Kerry a pretty good position in the electoral college.

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Here are a few sites of electoral projections:

http://www.electoral-vote.com

http://www.dalythoughts.com/ecb.htm

http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html

http://www.federalreview.com/

http://www.spacerad.com/electoral/

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

http://www.race2004.net/

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There are a handful of states that I'm really concerned about. Bush should NOT be worrying about these states!!! Bush should be waltzing through these and focusing on Ohio and Florida!

Nevada: Rasmussen's latest poll gives Bush a 1% lead. What's less-often reported is how many California liberals are relocating to Nevada to work and even sometimes vote there.

Colorado: Survey USA has both candidates tied at 47%. Could this be affected by reverse coattails?

Missouri: I'd always thought that MO was getting more conservative, but the latest Zogby has Bush down by 1%. I know, I know.. Zogby (yuck!), but I've seen other polls with this race close.

Tennesse: Again, how? Bush leads 48-46 in the latest Survey USA poll. That Frenchie is doing better than the Gorebot did in 2000!

Virginia: Bush holds a 3% lead here. I have faith in this state. My brother lives there outside of DC, and he says "no way" to it going Kerry. They're trying to appeal to vets, but with no good results. Still, 3% is a bit close for my comfort.

North Carolina: Sure, the Breck Girl is on the ticket, but this state was a landslide for Bush in 2000. Now it's statistically tied.

Then there are the swing states..

Ohio: I really began to worry when I saw today's Gallup numbers. Kerry has a 10% lead among registered voters, and 2% among likelies. Bush can't afford to lose this one.

Florida: the latest 3 polls have Bush trailing by an average of 6%. That's scary. I can't see us winning without Florida, unless we pull a hat trick and take Iowa/Minnesota/Wisconsin in return.

New Hampshire: Yeah, don't laugh.. 4EVs. But the election might be that close, and it looks like Kerry has a consistent 4 or 5% lead here.

What also bothers me is that undecideds almost always break by about 60 to 70% with the challenger. I see Bush on TV all the time, making his case (he's gotten quite good at it lately), but those damn TV goons always seem to twist things around on him. {And you know that the media are gonna have a field day with the 1000th GI death. Sickos.} I know that our convention is coming soon, and that we should get some bounce from it, but am I being a worrywart?

[Zavien Doombringer]

STAND DOWN!...STAND DOWN!!!...FALSE ALARM

He's one of us, New, but one of us.

[Zavien Doombringer]

Easy killer,

In time. First we need to "smell" you out... Newbies who post vanities always get a questionable look.

Welcome to FreeRepublic.

Remember, the Viking Kitties are always watching the threads.

[wolicy_ponk]

Dear Red state warrior,
Ignore the polls.
Find a way to split the time between your wife and this site, or you're just asking for it...
Welcome to Free Republic.

[devane617]

Every time I mention the possibility that Bush will lose Florida, the "Jeb won by 650,000 votes" crowd comes out of the woodwork to blast the comments.

I firmly believe Florida may go for Kerry, or at least it will be very close. Florida may be the single state that creates the largest problems for Bush's reelection.

[Rebelbase]

Why is it almost exclusivly newbies who post "Sky is falling" vanities?....infiltrators, IMO, the same ilk that used John Kerry's speech before the Senate to demoralize the POW's at the Hanoi Hilton.

[Darksheare]

Ford Prefect:

Don't Panic!

[Darksheare]

You forgot the ritual 'hazing of the noob'!
I got hazed when I signed up, and as far as I know, it's a natural thing.
(Of course, lately we've had several repeat obvious trolls.)

Oh.. I forgot something.
"Beware of that 'Darksheare' guy, he's crazy! That, and he follows me all over, I can't get away from him!"
/ joke.
Welcome to FR.

Stick around, laugh and relax.
Currently in an arguement with an apparent sleeper troll who is in denial about Sarin and Weapons of Mass Destruction.

[tiki]

Don't worry, be happy. If you see a few little kitties it probably isn't the DTs.