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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: WoodstockCat

Is there a link to TV??


741 posted on 08/13/2004 12:30:57 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: BurbankKarl

Tampa radar looks toward Lemon Bay/Charlottes Harbor as new point of impact.


742 posted on 08/13/2004 12:31:03 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Normal4me

they are going overboard with all these evacuations.


743 posted on 08/13/2004 12:31:07 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: OXENinFLA

I was watching the History last week .. they said the lowest pressure on record was the huricane that hit in Galveston Texas in 1900

http://www.noaa.gov/galveston1900/


744 posted on 08/13/2004 12:31:48 PM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: DGallandro

keep your head down (and your poweder dry)


745 posted on 08/13/2004 12:31:54 PM PDT by Dr Snide (vis pacem, para bellum - Prepare for war if you want peace)
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To: BushCheney4America

Sarasota in big trouble as is Bradenton. Sarasota is very near Ft. Meyers, jus tnorth of eye's projected path.


746 posted on 08/13/2004 12:31:56 PM PDT by Dont_Tread_On_Me_888
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To: BushCheney4America

Sarasota and Bradenton are north of Fort Myers, but South of Tampa. Residents there are probably in some semblance of danger, yes.

DG


747 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:05 PM PDT by DGallandro (Stupid People Provide Me Free Entertainment)
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To: WoodstockCat

New vortex data from most recent Hurrican Hunter shows 943 mb pressure...this thing is rapidly strengthening.


748 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:08 PM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: cwiz24

Before his kiteboard blew up his butt.


749 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:15 PM PDT by HelgaHawk
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To: commish

Can you picture the storm about 15-20 miles to the east?!

Fort Myers and Cape Coral would be a mass wreckage zone because of those winds.


750 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:19 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: DGallandro

"we went to Sonny's and ordered two pounds of barbecue to ride out the storm."


Goodness....yes there will be a storm in your toilets too. Sonny's is nasty barbecue. Hopefully, you have a good supply of toilet paper :-)


751 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:48 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: ContemptofCourt

943 already?


752 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:53 PM PDT by Petronski (I am become death, destroyer of worlds.)
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To: BurbankKarl

That guy is NUTS!!!!!!!!!!!


753 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:54 PM PDT by NotJustAnotherPrettyFace (Michael <a href = "http://www.michaelmoore.com/" title="Miserable Failure">"Miserable Failure"</a>)
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To: Rennes Templar

Weather Channel guy forecasting 'extreme damage.'


754 posted on 08/13/2004 12:32:59 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: jpsb
There is a live updating radar loop on post #3. The strongest winds are only located in the eyewall (small circle of red and orange around the eye). That is west of Fort Myers and will not hit there.
755 posted on 08/13/2004 12:33:15 PM PDT by Jeff400000
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To: MplsSteve

unconfirmed report of pressure at 943


756 posted on 08/13/2004 12:33:32 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: BurbankKarl

Yikes.


757 posted on 08/13/2004 12:34:06 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: gopwinsin04
Weather Channel guy forecasting 'extreme damage.'

He's not kidding, especially since it's paralleling the coast!!

758 posted on 08/13/2004 12:34:06 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: Conservative4Ever
This is one hurricane that is not going by the rules. Now it is getting scary.
Alex showed what's ahead ...
759 posted on 08/13/2004 12:34:07 PM PDT by Truth666
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To: Conservative4Ever

I have been trying to access webcams on Sanibel.....everything is just dead.

I hope that paradise manages to make it out of this thing without 12-years worth of cleanup, but that is not likely.

I hope nobody is injured, but I am afraid tons of folks may not have evacuated from Fort Myers and Sanibel in time.


760 posted on 08/13/2004 12:34:09 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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