Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
LOL...whoa, Captiva residents said storm is stalling off their coast and sustaining its strength...FMBch is getting big water now with sign. winds...paralleling Island of Captiva!
Weather Channel guy -'this is the nightmare scenario..'
We in the Tampa Bay area have already battened down the hatches and prepared for the worst.
Luckily, Survival is a hobby for me and my wife, so while everyone else was making a mad scramble for Wal Mart for water and batteries, we went to Sonny's and ordered two pounds of barbecue to ride out the storm.
Gotta have barbecue.
We're watching the storm on the NOAA website and on Accuweather.
I also have friends in the local area. We are on FRS Channel 8 in case communications goes down.
Not much you can do about the storm. It's going to hit where it's going to hit, you're either in various states of preparedness, or you're in denial and you just might die as a sheeple.
It's the aftermath where the prepared people are going to do the best.
Especially those of us with guns.
And a can of green spraypaint so I can paint "Looter Target Area" on my driveway.
Don't want to die? Don't loot your neighbors; One of them might be me.
On the other hand, Freepers are welcome. Come to the door like a civilized person, knock, announce your presence, that kind of thing, and I'll help you any way I can.
Remember, FRS Channel 8 (Clear/No PL number).
Be safe, all.
DG
You got that right. I just caught up to my own post and see that just before it, folks are saying this thing just turned north.
Which can only make one wonder how prepared we would be in the event of a terrorist attack. Hmmm.
.
just called it nightmare scenario on NBC 2..
strengthing and slowing
Oh crap...
Kiteboarder Ian Johnstone takes advantage of the high winds provided by Hurricane Charley as the storm's leading edge nears Fort Myers, Florida August 13, 2004......
it was the last time he was seen.
I don't like this move north puts strong side of Charlete bay, that will be bad if it goes ashore there.
THat would go to reason. A Drop in speed is usually indicative of a direction change. If this baby slows down and skirts the coast it could be real bad.
For those questioning the wind speeds in Ft. Myers etc. -- Ft. Myers is about 20-30 miles from the eye wall itself at the moment. The greatest winds are within a few miles of the eye. Winds of 60-80 MOH 20 Miles from the eye is about right. I can garauntee Sanibel Etc got over 100.
Kiteboarder Ian Johnstone looks like he's going to wind up in Georgia somewhere.
Gone from negative surge to major stome surge in last 45 minutes .....
Gee ... at first I thought it was JF'nK.
Del Boca Vista...I hope Jack Klumpus is ok. 8^)
Hey its John Kerry
I'm in Montana but I've got a small mobile home on Fort Myers Beach...Estero island. hope its still there tommorow!
Ft. Meyers is now barely visible now. Sansibel probably the same..15ft storm surges from the Weather Channel guy
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