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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Dems_R_Losers

BTW, I have vacationed on Sanibel. It is just incredibly incredibly beautiful.

This is going to take years to repair.


701 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:20 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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To: Capitalism2003

Ocala is definitely going to get wet and, like everwhere else in the path of this storm, at risk of tornados. Given the speed of the storm and how far inland Ocala is, flood/wind damage shouldn't be a serious risk.


702 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:20 PM PDT by Methos8
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To: OXENinFLA

Bad.


703 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:22 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Dog

Ft. Meyers is getting hammered on the webcam!


704 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:27 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: jpsb

I'm sure they are getting winds higher than is reported. It's tough to get reports out in these conditions, and instruments tend to break in high winds.


705 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:32 PM PDT by Jeff400000
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To: OXENinFLA

That's bad!


706 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:36 PM PDT by jayef
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To: All

I'm in California...so I'm not too familiar with the area. Does anyone know if Sarasota or Bradenton are in danger? My Grandma lives there & did not evacuate.


707 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:54 PM PDT by BushCheney4America
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To: OXENinFLA

Dropping is strengthening, IIRC.


708 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:56 PM PDT by Petronski (I am become death, destroyer of worlds.)
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To: Petronski

Hopefully Del Boca Vista will be spared. (small joke)

....where we can have Festivus for the Restofus!


709 posted on 08/13/2004 12:26:57 PM PDT by cwiz24
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To: WoodstockCat

Storm has slowed down causing more of a storm surge in area ....


710 posted on 08/13/2004 12:27:08 PM PDT by hawkaw
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To: jpsb

good footage on MSNBC now.


711 posted on 08/13/2004 12:27:16 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: commish

Storm is also slowing, tracking north by northeast, strengthing as it slows..


712 posted on 08/13/2004 12:27:27 PM PDT by WoodstockCat
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To: Howlin

Hugh and series!


713 posted on 08/13/2004 12:27:28 PM PDT by Sacajaweau (God Bless Our Troops!!)
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Comment #714 Removed by Moderator

To: OXENinFLA
and the Internal Pressure is dropping.
Is that good or bad?????

I don't know a whole lot about huricane ..

But I do know that is bad

715 posted on 08/13/2004 12:27:32 PM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: liz44040

It's a long way from the eyewall.


716 posted on 08/13/2004 12:28:16 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: jpsb

Usually what is reported are sustained winds. You can bet that if sustained winds are in the 80s that tehy are getting some gusts over 100. The NE part of the storm is usually the strongest. That part of the storm is not in contact with the coast now.


717 posted on 08/13/2004 12:28:31 PM PDT by jayef
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Local news calling for evacuation of all barrier islands From Cocoa Beach to the North (east coast). How do you move that many people in so few hours? I see we aren't as prepared as we thought we were...


718 posted on 08/13/2004 12:28:41 PM PDT by Normal4me
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To: cwiz24

Kiteboarder Ian Johnstone takes advantage of the high winds provided by Hurricane Charley as the storm's leading edge nears Fort Myers, Florida August 13, 2004.

719 posted on 08/13/2004 12:28:58 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: rwfromkansas
This is one hurricane that is not going by the rules. Now it is getting scary.

Red

720 posted on 08/13/2004 12:29:08 PM PDT by Conservative4Ever (I love the 1st Amendment...I can call Clinton an idiot.)
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