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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: commish

D@MN!!


501 posted on 08/13/2004 11:53:23 AM PDT by OXENinFLA
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To: agrace

No one knows where this thing is going. No landfall predictions as it slips north of sanibel isalnd...


502 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:06 AM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: ican'tbelieveit
Alex got stronger after passing the coast. Pretty amazing. The records Alex set
503 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:10 AM PDT by Truth666
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To: hawkaw

Its not going ashore!!


504 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:10 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Jeff400000

Another point...it is said that there are no atheists in foxholes, and, at the moment, Fort Myers is one big foxhole. If so inclined, take a moment to pray for the folks in the direct path of this storm.


505 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:19 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Under the personal care of the Great Physician...full coverage.)
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To: Hatteras
There's a Hurricane watch all the way up to Ocracoake.
506 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:23 AM PDT by pgkdan
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To: hawkaw

It should steer itself till it gets to a certain point. It will come ashore south of Tampa though, it's gotten too close to the coast.

This is a bad scenario with a storm moving north over water but close enough for the eyewal to affect shore areas.


507 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:32 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: gopwinsin04

Could it run the Western Coast?


508 posted on 08/13/2004 11:54:48 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: liz44040

now changing course!!! Santibel might not get hit as direct..now heading Boca Grande way...DeSoto County now has Tornado warning...


509 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:01 AM PDT by FeliciaCat
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To: mhking

Torando warning for DeSoto area


510 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:02 AM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: who knows what evil?

You would make a great Calvinist.

But, I agree with you about the weather channel. The local Tampa news channels are on it, though.


511 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:07 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (*www.fairtax.org* Hate the IRS? Vote for Bush!)
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To: nwctwx

Amazing...


512 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:14 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: nwctwx

TORNADO near ARCAIDA..............


513 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:33 AM PDT by OXENinFLA
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To: Nita Nupress

If a boat is anchored it can rise with the water and swing with the wind, if it is tied to a non floating dock it can't and will sink in a big surge.


514 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:34 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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Comment #515 Removed by Moderator

To: Mo1

Tornado near Arcadia...


516 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:40 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: ApesForEvolution

Crikey! Tampa is in trouble..


517 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:48 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: ApesForEvolution

It may rake the coast with the strongest part of the eyewall, which is an even worse turn of events.


518 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:48 AM PDT by mhking
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To: ApesForEvolution

It sure has that possiblity, that would be nasty...


519 posted on 08/13/2004 11:55:58 AM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: ApesForEvolution

these clowns on TWC talking about the weather in athens.


520 posted on 08/13/2004 11:56:23 AM PDT by oceanview
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