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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: jboot
...prayers going up for the path of anyone in this monster.
Wow, did I type that...? I don't recall having a six-pack with my lunch. Shoulda been:

"Prayers for anyone in the path of this monster"

461 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:22 AM PDT by jboot (Faith is not a work)
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To: ApesForEvolution

Are you trying to find out my age?

Yes, I do........LOL.

And, before you ask, YES, I remember Hazel, but I was a very, very young child!


462 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:24 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: ken5050
Gator Air.....we fly you then become your luggage upon landing.

Red

463 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:37 AM PDT by Conservative4Ever (I love the 1st Amendment...I can call Clinton an idiot.)
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To: AppyPappy
Charleston was that way after the last big cane there (Hugo?). They found boats all over the place.

I saw a TV shot earlier today showing a bunch of small boats (sailboats?) anchored a little way off the dock. What are these people doing? Does that mean there are people on all those boats trying to ride out the storm?!

I'm sorry, but material possessions are not worth risking lives for.

464 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:39 AM PDT by Nita Nupress ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton, 6/28/04)
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To: js1138

Talked w/my son last night and he is STILL planning to leave tomorrow from PA and drive to the Outer Banks for a family vacation. Turn east, Charlie, turn east...out to sea.


465 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:49 AM PDT by Carolinamom
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To: Hatteras
They'd be better off getting hit directly. If the storm tracks to the west/north of them, they'll see the strongest winds.

Looks like they'll catch the outer, not inner part of the eyewall. But that also means they're gonna get creamed by storm surge.

466 posted on 08/13/2004 11:48:49 AM PDT by dirtboy (Forget Berger's socks - has ANYONE searched his skin folds for classified documents?)
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Comment #467 Removed by Moderator

To: Howlin
They are talking to someone at the Tween Waters Inn on Captriva right now...getting hammered.

Captiva is literally about 300 yards across at that point of the island.

468 posted on 08/13/2004 11:49:11 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: commish

WOW..You can see the storm surge coming ashore on the Beach Cam ..amazing how quick the water is rising.


469 posted on 08/13/2004 11:49:13 AM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: Sprite518

AMAZING:

We just went from calm to strong wind and a downpour in a matter of five seconds.

We just lost our satellite signal for the TV.

We were looking outside and it was as calm as can be, then almost instantaneously, a very strong wind, hard rain and thunder came.

There was no transition at all.


470 posted on 08/13/2004 11:49:18 AM PDT by Dont_Tread_On_Me_888
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To: commish

Do you have a link?


471 posted on 08/13/2004 11:49:36 AM PDT by Sprite518
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To: commish

This guy on the radio on Sanibel is crazy!


472 posted on 08/13/2004 11:49:48 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: who knows what evil?
the Weather Channel got caught with their pants right down around their ankles on this one

In more ways than one... They just had a call from someone who claimed to be on the scene, and described the hurricane as, "a blast of wind from Howard Stern's a**..."

TWC broke off the call and went to a commercial.

473 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:07 AM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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To: Nita Nupress

If you are in a submarine 200 feet under, you may not even notice there is a storm.


474 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:13 AM PDT by RightWhale (Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and establish property rights)
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To: ContemptofCourt

Guy just lost part of his house. Waves coming over the dock.


475 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:20 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: gopwinsin04

DId you hear him: this large structural part of my house just blew off?


476 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:20 AM PDT by ican'tbelieveit
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To: liz44040

cantore getting hit hard on TWC now.


477 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:21 AM PDT by oceanview
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To: In_25_words_or_less
Apparently they still miss John Hope. All the cable news networks scooped them on the upgrade to Cat 4 status. And their presentation is as dry, formal and stiff as Sunday morning church.

I miss John Hope too! He looked like and was a braniac! God rest his soul!

478 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:28 AM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: liz44040

the guy from captiva just said a large piece of building just blew off and landed right in front of his house...he says his house is well built. I hope so...he still sounds calm


479 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:47 AM PDT by FeliciaCat
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To: Sprite518
CAM
480 posted on 08/13/2004 11:50:49 AM PDT by commish (Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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