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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: ContemptofCourt

I have noticed that the media hypes these storms, this might be another case of media hype. Winds in bands should be much strong then 20kts with a strong huricane even 50 or 100 miles away.


401 posted on 08/13/2004 11:40:27 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: mhking

Pine Island and Sansibel time to turn off the televisions and get cover.


402 posted on 08/13/2004 11:40:34 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: clamper1797

My sister is riding this thing out in Bradenton. I must say that I am not to pleased with her decision.


403 posted on 08/13/2004 11:40:40 AM PDT by jayef
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To: mhking

When is it suppose to come ashore?


404 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:04 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Howlin
That thing is changing hourly. It may regenerate off Georgia, who knows.

I got a bad feeling about this huricane

405 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:11 AM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: dglang
A prophetic friend of mine about two months ago said that God was going to send a great rain on Disney World here because of their 'gay days'.

Well at least this time we know it's not going to be raining men. (Hallelujah)

406 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:19 AM PDT by shezza
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To: gopwinsin04

Marco Island phones lost...


407 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:21 AM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: mhking
WBBH/WSVN: "For those of you on Captiva and Sanibel, time's up. Time to turn off the TV set and get into your safe room."

Those words are chilling (and I'm in PA).

408 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:22 AM PDT by Petronski (I am become death, destroyer of worlds.)
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To: Howlin

good map. its going to jump across florida, get back over the ocean, and hit the southern facing shores of south carolina.


409 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:22 AM PDT by oceanview
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To: mhking

Bookmark


410 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:30 AM PDT by CobraJet
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To: Pyro7480

Talked to my dad in Orlando, he thinks the approaching cold front will push the storm more easterly tracking from Ft Myers to over the Vero Beach area.


411 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:36 AM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: Howlin

2-3 hours


412 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:41 AM PDT by maggief
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To: dirtboy

This one is so fast and so quirky, who knows! It's not hour to hour, it's minute to minute.


413 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:42 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Howlin

Current projection is that the eyewall will hit Captiva & Sanibel at 3:00.


414 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:42 AM PDT by mhking
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To: per loin
I've always gotten a sense of awe from the sound of weather folks' voices when they mention Camille.

As a kid, I passed through Biloxi a few months after Camille struck (while on a family vacation). I'm not sure if I was so awestruck because of my young age or because it was THAT bad, but it was amazing. I can remember several huge boats being stranded and broken into pieces, sitting hundreds of yards inland. Actually, at that age, they looked like SHIPS to me!

All you FReepers in Florida... we're all praying for you. Keep your heads down and we'll talk to you on the other side of the storm!

415 posted on 08/13/2004 11:41:57 AM PDT by Nita Nupress ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton, 6/28/04)
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To: oceanview

In reality, we don't know what it will do. But it's a doozy.


416 posted on 08/13/2004 11:42:12 AM PDT by AppyPappy (If You're Not A Part Of The Solution, There's Good Money To Be Made In Prolonging The Problem.)
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To: MindBender26

Tornadoes in Orlando..whoa!


417 posted on 08/13/2004 11:42:15 AM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: mhking

418 posted on 08/13/2004 11:42:22 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Bush is Hell on liberals and terrorists.)
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To: mhking

I think the eyewall is going to graze Sanibel - the storm is now tracking more to the north.


419 posted on 08/13/2004 11:42:25 AM PDT by dirtboy (Forget Berger's socks - has ANYONE searched his skin folds for classified documents?)
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To: mhking

they keep talking about this sanibel island on the net....hurricane is 15 miles away


420 posted on 08/13/2004 11:42:31 AM PDT by BurbankKarl
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