Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
They keep people working too :')
It can be more practical to have a mobile home in some places --- areas that flood for example --- here in the areas that have flooding, those up higher in their mobile homes don't have to scrape 2 feet of mud out of their homes.
nice cats!
this one is going 4-5 times higher then that I think.
True. I was in one during a flash flood that had water almost up to the floor. I never realized how fast water could rise before. One minute, just the grass covered and 15 minutes later it was two feet deep.
I agree! Heck, I think it would be great to have one that you could just LOCK and LEAVE without much maintenance.......
Some of the ones I see look pretty good to me; heck, they even have jacuzzis!
that eye wall was just like being in a 5 mile wide F2 tornado.
You obviously haven't seen every mobile home park. My great-aunts lived in a retirement park near Phoenix which was all mobile homes --- very nice place --- all retired people, very friendly and the park was very tidy. They even had the areas under the trailers dug out so they could be at ground level --- no stairs. Many of these people liked to travel and didn't feel like maintaining the big houses they once owned and wanted their retirement money more freed up for the fun stuff.
Yeah. I had forgotten too, that if you wait too long you can't get out of a mobile home.
Its pathetic the way people sterotype others by the type of housing they live in....very elitist, arrogant, and downright snotty....Kerryesque.
Some are making it sound like it will be no big deal for us then I'm watching CNN a while ago and they were saying it came inland farther south than they expected so we are more in the line of fire than they previously expected. Possibly some are simply hyping it.
It does concern me that we had so much rain in the night though. Geez, it woke me up several times the noise from the pouring down rain. Our ground is just about as saturated as it can be.
MKM
>>>>>I would like to help, but not thru the Red Cross. Any suggestions?<<<<<<<<
I know that the Southern Baptist Convention has a Disaster Relief Team that each state convention has that is very efficient at getting help to the people who need it most. I am sure that they already have their teams there with more help on the way. Contact a local Southern Baptist Church for more information. Any donations go 100% to what it is designateded towards.
Thanks. That's what I'll do. I'll check with the SA too.
designateded = designated, that's what happens when you stay up late and get up early...
Same here and I'm a good bit further north.
A lot of the folks living in those mobile home parks are elderly, too. Some very elderly. And some of them may have been too frightened and /or incapable of leaving without assistance from someone else. John Zarrella on CNN was talking about a group of elderly physically unharmed but dazed. They'd stayed put, and the building they were in was so badly damaged that it was immediately condemned.
SA is good too. I know about the SBC disaster relief teams personally and know that they don't care about getting all of the glory like the Red Cross.
You obviously haven't seen some of the mobile home communities in the Punta Gorda area.
Andrew had 26 deaths.
Fran had 37 and Floyd had 57.
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