Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
There were reports of some folks surfing earlier .. they needed to be rescued when they slammed into the piers
Not very bright if you ask me
I have a feeling the beautiful islands of Sanibel & Captiva might be pretty much destroyed. Direct hit at full strength. Hopefully they were completely evacuated.
I know Sanibel well, it's breaking my heart. And the Ding Darling Nature Preserve... oh man.
A radio reporter called in to the TV station and said he drove down there from Englewood. Much damage, but he said residents were walking around.
(TV station just ended local news coverage -- going to Leno now, but have update crawler on bottom of screen.)
The NBC feed just went to Lenno. Will be back in the morning.
Where are you headed?
Sorry to you also for the late reply. Your sister should have been fine. We were really spared the brunt of it. Unfortunately, our good luck is someone else's bad luck. I have a friend in North Port which is just to the north of Port Charlotte. She was scared to death. It got pretty ugly for them. Fortunately, her husband really prepared. They lost power, but they're OK.
Wow--watching a utility truck rolling around in donuts. No driver.
It's a joke in our family....my sister is on the coast of Florida; I'm on the coast of Georgia. WE get the mandatory evacuations, but our relatives in Florence get the actual hurricanes!
Have a friend who just built a rebar reinforced concrete house in Loris....it also has a fully concrete safe room! And they have room for my dog too!
Is it going to hit, or has it hit Jekyll Island area??And how bout a link to the neat weather radar?! thanks!
I went on vacation there once just loved it
have land in cape coral
I'm not going to question people's judgment, but it seems to me that if you lived on the west coast of Florida and if a hurricane was moving past your location -- even if you thought it was on the way to somewhere else -- since you would be on the LEFT side of the hurricane, you'd make some kind of preparations -- just in case.
I mean, I'm in North Carolina and I know what's going on.
Dear God! I have 2 sets of Great Aunts and Uncles that have mobile homes on a canal of the Peace River in Punta Gorda. My Grandparents wintered in the same place for years until their death so I'm very familiar with the area. My mom thinks her aunts and uncles were spending the summer north and don't stay in PG this time of year, I hope so.
OTOH, my mom's brother, wife and kids live in Port Charlotte and she's been unable to reach them all day.
I lived in Delray Beach FL when Andrew came through in Homestead in '92. I went through that area a couple of months later to get to Key West. It was completely leveled. It looked what I imagine a third world country would look like after a nuclear detonation.
MKM
Lake Wales, maybe?
What "tone" are you talking about?
You need to learn to actually read posts "ASAP" before you respond to them.
I lived in South FlA during Andrew..I also visited Sanibel Island more than once and know that storms wash incredible amount of shells up there.
What is your problem with me wanting to go there to collect shells after a storm? Is that some kind of disrespect of dead in your book?
Get a grip.
I can't agree more...
I'm thinking the 1:00am track will shift a bit to the west. I was in Charleston for Hugo, so y'all be careful.
I am quite afraid you are right, the feds sounded grim, I think they know more than they're letting on at this time...Prayers for all in the path of this storm!
The major problem is, it sounds like a lot of people down there did not evacuate. If the core of winds hit an area with a lot of people milling around... a lot of those people are no more.
Lots of prayers going to that area of FL.
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