Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Ross Cavitt, WBS reporter in Port Charlotte saying tomorrow there will be signifant casualties.
I agree with you.
Keep us posted on the news reports please.
The area of landfall had been under a Hurricane Warning for a long, long time (as Hurricane Warnings go.)
I'm attempting to find a record of the evac orders but pretty extensive mandatory evacs were ordered there, and relatively early (as evacs go.)
Lake Wales--must boil water. Just east of Lake Wales, a 50 ft sink hole opened up. They think it swallowed a car--but they can't be sure yet. A nursing home had roof damage when the A/C unit blew off. No injuries. Cars parked behind the NH had windows blown out. Gas line fire. Power is out in most locations in Polk Co.
Who lost their lives? I haven't heard any reports of deaths.
You don't know who you're talking to. I lived in South Fla ON THE BEACH during hurricane Andrew, had to evacuate. So tell me how and what I can say in this thread sissy.
That was the projection yesterday.
I am hearing 3 billion just in and around Punta Gorda.
Additionally, a British Journalist has been freed in Iraq, and the aides of the cleric Sadr are seeking amnesty for him AND ALL HIS FOLLOWERS. (the British journalist was freed because of the intervention of the aides -- it is possible the Cleric Sadr is dying, and these people are trying to save his life...)
Finally, some Polish troops went to the rescue of some Iraqi police (30 Polish soldiers) and the militia of Sadr is now surrounded because this situation.
Not that Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and Norh Carolina reports are not important, but I thought this might be of interest to Freepers...
As you pointed out though hurricane warnings went up for the west coast faily early on and that means 'pay attention'.
I hope they don't try and blame this on Jeb Bush, he did the best he could with the information given to him.
DeSoto Co. All major roads blocked. In Arcadia, the roof blew off a shelter housing 1200 evacuees. A shopping center is destroyed. Widespread, severe damage, no electricity. No water in Arcadia.
It was a 2 at noon, and a 4 by 3pm. When I got your email telling me it had intensified that much that fast, I didn't believe it at first.
please, keep the reports coming...
If you'd listen with your ears instead of your mouth, you would know that there are people confirmed dead, and that they're anticipating a VERY bad day tomorrow.
There are people on this thread RIGHT NOW with loved ones they can't get in touch with in a massively damaged area.
Show some maturity.
My first email to you was 1:24; it was a 4 then.
Couple of crank calls to Fort Myers TV -- one guy started to berate the local meteorologist for getting it wrong and caused many people to die -- Newsbabe cut him off and apologized (Why don't these stations have a 7-second delay when they broadcast live?)
Sounds like a low cat 3 hurricane. Trees down like crazy, some flooding, general mess. Houses don't get blown apart in a cat 3. Cat 5, apparently yes.
NWS Wilmington issued this at 11:39
I'm in the general area of Florence. Oh well, here comes a rough ride.
WWUS72 KILM 140346
NPWILM
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1139 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
NCZ087-SCZ024-032-033-039-142100-
DILLON SC-FLORENCE SC-MARION SC-ROBESON NC-WILLIAMSBURG SC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MULLINS...MARION...LAKE CITY...KINGSTREE...
FLORENCE...DILLON AND LUMBERTON
1139 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
LUMBERTON...FAIRMONT...DILLON...MARION...FLORENCE...EFFINGHAM...LAKE
CITY...AND KINGSTREE.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS THE CENTER OF CHARLEY MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS BETWEEN 1000 AM AND 500
PM ON SATURDAY.
KEEP IN MIND LARGE TREES OR TREE LIMBS MAY FALL DURING THE HIGH
WINDS. POWER OUTAGES COULD ALSO OCCUR. PARK VEHICLES AWAY FROM AREAS
WHERE THEY COULD BE DAMAGED BY FALLING TREES AND POWER LINES.
MARINERS ON INLAND LAKES SHOULD CONSIDER SECURING THEIR BOATS.
PREPARE FOR WINDS ON THE LAKES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS AND VERY ROUGH
WAVES.
STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS...STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
$$
CNN is showing pictures of a small airport that is just wasted.
Since H. Charley is moving offshore for the moment, there were tornadoes in North Carolina today from TS Bonnie.
(It is a bad slip when using the word movement in lieu of moment when talking of Hurricanes. I have seen enough movement of H. Charley for one day).
I have the Jax radar loop open in another window....
lots of red and orange. I think Charlie is going to form back up quickly.
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