Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Have you heard any reports from the Kissimee area?
The Gulf Stream?
It was early when it passed over that town.
I'd guess still 125+ mph at that time, maybe 130 mph.
Eye was right over it, so the winds were very high over everything present.
(Unlike Orlando, for example, which is more spread out.)
They're frantically trying to create that myth already; Jeb Bush has already addressed it.
That part of Florida had some of the FIRST evac orders.
There were comparisons to Andrew damage most all day. While Charley missed the highly populated Tampa Bay area (Andrew struck south of Miami) Charley ripped through high population areas throughout the interior of the state (whereas Andrew traversed the Everglades). Expect numbers to match or top Andrew.
I need to find the name of that guy who repaired our roof after Isabel. We lost some shingles; we're bound to lose some again.
They're talking about it coming right up I-95. I should have done my laundry this evening instead of watching the Olympic ceremonies. I'll be up early doing the laundry and vacuuming, things you can't do when the power is out. We've got batteries, flashlights, enough food in the house, etc.
On that note...I'm outta here. I hope when I wake up tomorrow the news will be better. I hope Florida took most of the mickey out of Charley....hey, that's a pun, sort of! LOL!
Do you have a link to the Ft. Myers webcast?
You made it!
I was in Raleigh during Fran -- lived in that apartment complex up on the hill behind Crabtree Valley Mall. Thought my car would be nice and safe in the parking lot with no trees around it. But I picked the ONE parking place in the ENTIRE lot that a tree from across the street picked to fall upon - my car was crushed.
This CA gal had never gone through a hurricane. I will never forget that night -- transformers going off like bombs. Luckily, I think we were on the same power grid as Rex Hospital so we were up and running within one day. But it took forever to put Raleigh back together after Fran.
Prayers for you all now in Charley's path! I'm in DC, but it looks like we'll just get the remnants of it....I'm hoping...
Eye passed right over the intersection of I-4 and Hwy 192 and International Drive - damage area probably gutted almost all of the tourist stuff south of Orlando:
Nothing from Disney yet?
Nothing from Universal Studios?
Did the Killer whales swim free from Seaworld into the swamps?
Both, it was the Charlotte County emergency operations manager giving the report.
I've heard estimates of 15 billion already.
Thanks!
Ping me if you hear any more info please!
...and thanks!
Thanks for the response. That is not good news. I wouldn't be surprised if the warehouse is not flattened. Just a metal building.
Didn't Jeb declare a state of emergency yesterday and told folks to get out??
I was in Ft. Lauderdale for Andrew. We were relieved and joked about how anticlimactic it was after it passed 30-40 miles south of us. Big deal we said.
Then the power came back on, and the first footage of the damage around Miami came on TV, and we stopped joking. I'm afraid the same thing's gonna happen here come morning.
Pasco Co. House literally exploded, only two walls remained in the safe room (bathroom).
Well, yes, he did. But never mind all that. A Bush has to be blamed.
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