Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
I am in Daytona Beach.The wind has got to be at least 40-50mph as I type this.The electric has flickered for the last 30 minutes,and things are making noise as they hit my house.
Gonna be a "rocky" nite.Will try to post alittle later.
I hope everyone is safe.
I wanted to punch him; and Anderson Cooper, too.
Don't they realize that if they hadn't warned all those people, that there would be even MORE damage and casualties?
Anderson Cooper reporting that the Punta Gorda Hospital reporting "many" injuries/casualties.
My daughter, finally came back on line. She had lost power in Melbourne, south east of Orlando. They lost power for about an hour,and a trailer hit a house. I hope it is winding down there.
Power just went out in at least one neighborhood in Melbourne. (Gaulty Circle, if anyone knows where that is.)
Some of the Florida LSRs.....
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0905 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ORLANDO 28.50N 81.37W
08/13/2004 ORANGE FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AT ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL ARPT
0600 PM TSTM WND DMG WAUCHULA 27.55N 81.81W
08/13/2004 HARDEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE OVER COUNTY...UNNUMBERED INJURIES.
HOSPITAL OUT OF SERVICE.
0600 PM TSTM WND DMG ZOLFO SPRINGS 27.49N 81.79W
08/13/2004 HARDEE FL AMATEUR RADIO
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE. POWER LINES DOWN. MAJOR ROADS
BLOCKED. CANNOT GET INTO ZOLFO SPRINGS. MOBILE HOME PARKS
DESTROYED. ROOF DESTROYED AND COMMS TOWER DOWN AT
HOSPITAL.
0700 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKE WALES 27.90N 81.59W
08/13/2004 POLK FL AMATEUR RADIO
NURSING HOME COLLAPSED
Stay safe and let me know; I have friends in Edgewater!
It's gonna be bad; it always is the next day.
A lot of people are going to be really surprised, IMO.
Howlin, I haven't been able to follow the whole thread. Do you know how hard Tampa got hit?
it didn't get hit hardly at all - a glancing blow at best.
Does anyone have first-hand information about Chuluota, Curryville, and Maitland?
Tampa drew the long straw today; wind and rain.
That fits with the velocity data.
Thank you. We have friends there.
OK...how about Dunedee (that's HORRIBLE misspelled)?
Who is Anderson Cooper? Where did you hear this report. I have a nephew that lives on a sailboat in Punta Gorda. I am so worried.
Issuing a West Palm Beach warning?
Now??? When the thing is 200 miles north, and heading back towards Daytona????
They're getting goofy.
Thanks to you, too!
Prayers to you and to all our FReeper FRiends in Charley's path... stay safe.
I'm in Tampa, and after preparing for the worst, we had some sprinkles of rain. Thats it.
I do think that they did the right thing being completely prepared for the storm in this area, with all of the evacuations.
Southwest Florida did not take it as seriously, with only evacuations on the islands. We are still waiting to hear from family in the SW Cape Coral area, one of the hardest hit.
where is it? the big hit area has been Fort Myers, but especially Punta Gorde, and Sanibel and those barrier islands.
Not even a sparrow can fall apart from the will of the Father.
He causes everything.
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