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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Howlin
Whew! The adrenaline rush is waning. Just might sleep through the night for the first time in several days. If I can get the computer put back together, will post some pics. Eeeesh--if the Cat 4 winds had hit the house where we had evacuated, it would have been a disaster. The entire west side of the house is windows, with about a zillion skylights.

Thank you for being such a dear!

1,821 posted on 08/13/2004 4:20:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: NCjim
Whoa... Video from http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo was great for a long time, but suddenly it is gone...
1,822 posted on 08/13/2004 4:20:23 PM PDT by Zeppo
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To: Joe Brower

Wolf Blitzer will be deeply saddened.


1,823 posted on 08/13/2004 4:20:35 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: tmp02

Report via hams...

the steel light poles are bent in half....100 mph sustains winds.....


1,824 posted on 08/13/2004 4:21:01 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Drago

1,825 posted on 08/13/2004 4:21:30 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: Joe Brower

Glad to see/hear that all is well for you!


1,826 posted on 08/13/2004 4:21:33 PM PDT by Netizen (Abortion is not a choice -- it's murder. The only 'choice' is which method of birth control to use.)
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To: BurbankKarl

Where is that?


1,827 posted on 08/13/2004 4:21:35 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Joe Brower

Glad to hear all went well as far south as your neighborhood. What an awe inspiring close call we had!


1,828 posted on 08/13/2004 4:22:42 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: Howlin

It is here, in Volusia Co.


1,829 posted on 08/13/2004 4:22:52 PM PDT by The Right Stuff
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To: Orlando; Howlin

The eye looks to go west of you ...

Draw line from Port Charlotte, up 17 to Fort Meade, then extend it over Disneyland towards Maitland.

Looks like it may reach the Atlantic shore a little south a San Augustine, maybe at Summer Haven


1,830 posted on 08/13/2004 4:23:11 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: Howlin

I think it was Arcadia...


1,831 posted on 08/13/2004 4:23:40 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: BurbankKarl

the power outages across the part of the state where this is hitting is going to be massive - there are going to be people without power for weeks.


1,832 posted on 08/13/2004 4:23:46 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: tmp02

...Tornadoes touch down near Orlando...fatalities involved...


1,833 posted on 08/13/2004 4:24:47 PM PDT by tmp02
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To: theophilusscribe

waterfront at the mouth of the Manatee River.


1,834 posted on 08/13/2004 4:25:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: tmp02

Thanks, tmp. Freepers ARE the greatest. Prayers for everybody down there.


1,835 posted on 08/13/2004 4:25:39 PM PDT by kitkat ("The democrats would rather win the WH than the war." - Tom DeLay))
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To: BurbankKarl
Karl, good to see you.
I'm listening to Echolink (Hurricane...)
1,836 posted on 08/13/2004 4:26:13 PM PDT by tmp02
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To: kitkat

85 is no big deal - even the mobile homes can withstand that no problem. I'm sure she is fine.

I am in Orlando and, thankfully, this storm appears to be way overhyped. No where close to the damage of other 'major' hurricanes.b


1,837 posted on 08/13/2004 4:26:16 PM PDT by al_again
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Apparently the Jax stations are predicting the storm to hit the Atlantic between Jax & St. Augustine right now.


1,838 posted on 08/13/2004 4:26:18 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: tmp02

this storm is holding together even over land.


1,839 posted on 08/13/2004 4:26:21 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: al_again

Orlando?

But, it's not over you yet.

Don't relax untilit's past your area!


1,840 posted on 08/13/2004 4:27:23 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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