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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Drago

Limbs down in that camera view.

Bird bath full, but not knocked over (yet.)


1,801 posted on 08/13/2004 4:10:39 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: theophilusscribe

Scary picture - we're not in Kansas anymore, Toto.


1,802 posted on 08/13/2004 4:10:45 PM PDT by Quilla
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

thank you, sir, for that information about Bradenton. I DO have a Mapquest map, but it doesn't begin to show all I need to know. You've helped a lot.


1,803 posted on 08/13/2004 4:11:16 PM PDT by kitkat ("The democrats would rather win the WH than the war." - Tom DeLay))
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To: kitkat

Just south of Ft Meade Fl....

headed toward Winterhaven and Orlando.


1,804 posted on 08/13/2004 4:11:19 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Drago

Ok, this is a little off topic but I was just watching Fox and they had some guy reporting from Florida. The camera guy was panning about apparently showing the damage, but I couldnt see a damn thing because the video was pixelated and jittering all over the place.

I see the same thing when they report from Iraq usually while in combat. What happened to regular camera's? Shouldnt video camera's quality improve over time instead of degrade?


1,805 posted on 08/13/2004 4:11:30 PM PDT by vezke
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To: Drago
I'm home!!! Safe and sound--everything--and I mean everything is intact, except the fax line, and I have been wanting to get rid of it anyway.

That big turn south of us saved us. Now I have to figure out how to put all the big computer fixings together. But first---most sincere thanks to each and every one of you for your prayers and kind words of encouragement.

Tomorrow, will begin taking down the boards from the windows.

1,806 posted on 08/13/2004 4:12:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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To: kitkat
Just got word that Arcadia(sp?) got hit pretty good. There was a shelter that the storm hit, but no word in there were any injuries. People were taken to a second shelter...
1,807 posted on 08/13/2004 4:12:51 PM PDT by tmp02
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To: BurbankKarl

1,808 posted on 08/13/2004 4:13:37 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: kitkat

That's so sweet! But I'm not the One responsible for the weather. I can't take credit for that.

I gladly accept the prayers though!! :o)


1,809 posted on 08/13/2004 4:13:38 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: NautiNurse

YEAH.................I've been thinking of you all day long!!!!!!!


1,810 posted on 08/13/2004 4:14:05 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: NautiNurse

NautiNurse, where are you?


1,811 posted on 08/13/2004 4:15:26 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: RightWhale

Hmmmmn.

Just south of Fort Meade now.

Next up is Winter Haven, or maybe just west of there.

Still trending north-northeast ...

Aimed right at Disneyland and Universal Studios on the southwest corner of Orlando-Kissimmee.


1,812 posted on 08/13/2004 4:15:48 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: oceanview

I am on the east side of Orlando near UCF , and it's not looking good, power outages out in alot of area near here.
So far, I am lucky, but the path of Charley is coming right at us...


1,813 posted on 08/13/2004 4:15:56 PM PDT by Orlando (www.mensnewsdaily.com, www.mensactivism.org (Support Fathers/Veteran Rights)
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To: tmp02

Tornadoes spotted in Volusia county...


1,814 posted on 08/13/2004 4:17:08 PM PDT by tmp02
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To: NautiNurse; JulieRNR21
We lucked out here in Venice -- the storm did that eastward jog into Charlotte Harbor and then headed Northeast, which had the eye skate by us by about 30 miles or so. Sanibel and Pt. Charlotte have been trashed, but their sacrifice saved an awful lot of real estate on the coasts further north.


1,815 posted on 08/13/2004 4:18:18 PM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism.)
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To: Orlando

Prayers for all of you in and around O-Town!


1,816 posted on 08/13/2004 4:18:18 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: SunnySide
I just was able to talk to my friend who lives in Orlando. She is getting wind (she was outside and I could hear it over the phone). She has bathtubs filled with water, and a walk-in closet cleaned out in case it gets really bad. She did not board her windows and now it is too late, she' bummed about that.

I told her we are praying for her and everyone in the path of Charlie. (Funny aside: her ex-husband's name is Charlie, you can only imagine the jokes that are coming out of that!)

Glad to be here, MOgirl
1,817 posted on 08/13/2004 4:18:31 PM PDT by MOgirl (In memory of Walton Wayne Callahan, I love you forever.)
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To: tmp02

Tornados in Wake County, North Carolina.


1,818 posted on 08/13/2004 4:18:42 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: vezke

They are using a lot more of those Sat phone video set-ups...low bit rate equals lousy video (similar to 16k streaming on Internet).


1,819 posted on 08/13/2004 4:18:58 PM PDT by Drago
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To: BurbankKarl

THANK YOU, BK. This northern Mom is breathing easier now. Prayers for everyone down in Florida.


1,820 posted on 08/13/2004 4:19:52 PM PDT by kitkat ("The democrats would rather win the WH than the war." - Tom DeLay))
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