Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Good, glad you got the post. I knew there was someone that wanted the info, I just couldn't remember the screen name. :)
I think that area got lucky. I think the eye wall being so small is what saved a lot of areas.
They live in a rather low lying area too, so that 'is' good news.
I have a relative who lives by Orlando. Spoke with them on phone earlier. All seems okay so far. That area might get tornado spin offs. So to all in that area, you better board up windows. Better safe than sorry.
The Sarasota Herald-Tribune reported the Charlotte County Emergency Operations Center lost part of its roof to intense winds. Local television stations showed footage of flooded docks and battered buildings missing roofs and shutters. And the Cape Coral Hospital in Fort Myers lost much of its roof, Mayor Jim Humphrey told CNN.
Looks like this isn't nearly as bad as people thought. There was NO storm surge to speak of. Was watching live shots of it coming in - didn't look bad at all. Some structural damage but nothing compared to andrew or Opal.
I'm just N of Orlando in the direct path but looks like it won't be much worse than the regular afternoon thunderstorms.
The radio said today that one reason the governor of GA had declared a state of emergency is because after he does that, it's illegal for vendors to raise the prices on essentials.
That said, I think NE Fla and GA are going to dodge this particular bullet, except for perhaps the tornadoes in the outer bands. My sister says the JAX tv & radio stations are still hyping it, and we're still putting stuff away around here, but it looks as if the major part will go out to sea.
I seriously doubt Kerry is going to go until the storm is over. If he does, and he looks like he's campaigning (and why else would a Massachusetts senator be shaking hands in Florida right after a hurricane?), then Bush supporters will slam him for taking advantage of the situation for political gain.
IF you are considering the WEST coast of FL....
Opposite conditions apply on the EAST coast of FL, and the Atlantic seaboard and Gulf Coast/Texas Coast in general.
well, I don't think we know yet about the very localized area near the eye, when it hit Punta Gorde. But you are right, it was not widespread devastation like Andrew.
Thanks
May end up going directly over Jacksonville actually...
also, those barrier islands like Sanibel.
The roof of a garage is blown off onto Charlotte County Sheriff's cruisers from winds of Hurricane Charley in the parking lot of the Charlotte County Airport, Friday, Aug. 13, 2004, in Punta Gorda,Fla. (AP Photo/Scott Martin)
Andrew actually was as narrow or even narrower than Charley.
I'm surprised that there is no footage out of that area yet. Looks like it is pretty calm down there but no reports are coming out. All the crews sent to Tampa should've been able to make it down there by now.
Are u in the area?
I'm about 30 miles West of Orlando, so things should get interesting here in a couple of hours. I've got water, food, and my rifle, so I'm not expecting to have any trouble.
We haven't gotten much from the hurricane yet, just some wind and rain no worse than a typical summer storm.
BTW: Another storm has formed in the Atlantic, and is taking a similar path to Charlie; so we could be dealing with a repeat next weekend.
they are talking about it crossing south of Jacksonville - at Daytona Beach.
The Gulf is like bath water this time of year.
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