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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: pollywog

Try www.mapquest.com

You can enter that subdivison.


1,481 posted on 08/13/2004 2:18:38 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: All

Charley is now moving due north AS a hurrican over land!


1,482 posted on 08/13/2004 2:18:47 PM PDT by md2576 (Freep On!)
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To: theophilusscribe
I have family in Sarasota and in Winter Springs

I live in Winter Springs. Not too bad right now. In between bands. Can't you get ahold of them?

1,483 posted on 08/13/2004 2:18:52 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Designate - Infiltrate - Annihilate // Read my lips: More new taxes - John Kerry)
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To: theophilusscribe

sarasota probably getting the worst they will see right now.....charley is almost due east at this time......probably breezy and rainy but they definitely dodged a bullet with the earlier NE turn.


1,484 posted on 08/13/2004 2:18:54 PM PDT by dennis1x
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Looks like present track takes it to Orlando.


1,485 posted on 08/13/2004 2:18:57 PM PDT by 1smallVoice (Clinton brought us Bush)
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To: Dog

Prayers for all in the hurricane area!


1,486 posted on 08/13/2004 2:19:04 PM PDT by MEG33 (John Kerry has been AWOL for two decades on issues of National Security)
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To: Dog Gone

I'm outta here. Stay safe, Florida Freepers.


1,487 posted on 08/13/2004 2:19:12 PM PDT by dirtboy (Forget Berger's socks - has ANYONE searched his skin folds for classified documents?)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

it will hit the NC/SC border around 2PM tomorrow.


1,488 posted on 08/13/2004 2:19:20 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: oceanview

Hearing that.


1,489 posted on 08/13/2004 2:20:22 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: oceanview

It may stay over land by the newest track so may not intensify.


1,490 posted on 08/13/2004 2:21:14 PM PDT by md2576 (Freep On!)
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To: Drago

That webcam at DisneyWorld shows lots of rain now in Orlando.


1,491 posted on 08/13/2004 2:21:25 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

thank you.


1,492 posted on 08/13/2004 2:21:27 PM PDT by pollywog (Psalm 121;1 I Lift mine eyes to the hills from whence cometh my help.)
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To: oceanview

FEMA dispatching trailers with disaster supplies. Leaving from Atlanta and are on the way.


1,493 posted on 08/13/2004 2:21:38 PM PDT by mewzilla
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To: cogitator

We already have very high winds here in Sebring area,and have had sightings of tornado's in Lake Placid and Avon Park area. No injuries or damage known so far.


1,494 posted on 08/13/2004 2:21:57 PM PDT by samantha (Don't panic, the adults are in charge)
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To: Howlin

i'm cancelling my Sunday BBQ I guess.


1,495 posted on 08/13/2004 2:22:04 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

TWC estimates 6" of rain for the orlando area.


1,496 posted on 08/13/2004 2:22:42 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: md2576

latest track nearly identical as earlier track...still exiting in about 12 hours or so....not expected to reintensify however.....forecast to hit SC as a strong tropical storm, minimal hurricane.


1,497 posted on 08/13/2004 2:22:52 PM PDT by dennis1x
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.


1,498 posted on 08/13/2004 2:23:04 PM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: VeniVidiVici

Yes, I just talked to her. She is ok, and is waiting it out. You doing ok? Its supposed to hit you around midnight, right?


1,499 posted on 08/13/2004 2:23:04 PM PDT by theophilusscribe ("America is too great for small dreams." —Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: md2576

Guy on the phone: "A porta-potty went flying by our house..."


1,500 posted on 08/13/2004 2:23:06 PM PDT by mhking
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