Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
On a radio like that you probably can't receive single side band (SSB) transmissions. That's where most of the action would be. Yours usually is built to bring in big signals like the BBC, VOA, HCJB, etc.
200-300 feet in the middle - northwest of Orlando - is about the biggest I know of. BUt I haven't spent much time in the panhandle.
East coast?
Nothing is higher than 30 feet all the way from Silver Springs to the beaches at Daytona to Cape Canaveral.
But I haven't been to the west coast side, nor much south of Orlando other than those swamps around Kissimmee Lake. (Yet)
max winds now 140
It's understandable to be worried, but the worst of it will go north of Cocoa.
I'm glad you're not alone, I thought we'd have to come get you to stay with us! ;^)
Thanks. I hope your dad is going to be okay, countess.
This thing is now basically a 10-mile wide strong F2 tornado.
nope.....5 and charley are completely disconnected at this time....too far apart.
only possible effect is if 5 took the exact same path...charley will have stirred up the water in its path and made it slightly (and very temporarily) cooler.
North port not evacuated, any other news about Englewood/North Port PLEASE?
Report from another thread:
>> The roof is peeling off the Punta Gorda police department's headquarters <<
I work in Orlando so I'm kind of glad I didn't go in today.
give me that over a 1/2 mile F4 tornado any day!!
Makes sense, wind speeds dropping a bit as the eye gets inland.
Not enough though.
Per mhking's streaming link, west bound Alligator Alley shut down for a while for a damage assessment.
I'm glad you didn't go in too!
I am chilled.
You said NJ never got hit. That's BS.
I said it was very rare for Jersey to get a direct, landfalling hit - and not from a hurricane moving from this direction.
yes. CNN had John Zarrella in Venice - it wasn't that bad there. But within that bullseye around the eye, its bad.
That Alligator Alley is NOT the place to be in a rainstorm...glad they shut part of it down for a while.
On further review -- it looks like Charley will impact some of the orange grove area. If you look at a Florida map, there's a place called Yeehaw Junction on the Florida Turnpike. The Minute Maid groves are just south of there; they should fare OK. But there are other grove areas to the north and west, around Sebring and Frostproof, and Lake Wales, Groveland (wonder why they call it that), and Clermont (which features the Citrus Tower). They may get some high winds.
This can do almost as much damage, and over a much, much wider area. The F4 is over in a minute or so - this one lasts for much longer.
I do worship the Lord and I know He tells us there is a time and place for everything, this not the time OR place for what you are doing.
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