Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
"Well I DO because it has ripped MY family a part! I have one relative who died over drugs. It has infiltrated into my community too. So yes, I am extremely obsessed about drug traffickers. So if you don't like my posts "ignore" them. (shrug)
"
So start your own thread on that subject. The subject here is the hurricane.
Radar from Ft Myers shows that band of showers over you is moving northeast into the Atlantic ..
Directly in front of the storm's path.
Thanks Howlin. Much ablighed!
you were WAY ahead of the evac timeline!
I am right in the middle of this in Orlando. My cousin in Altamonte Springs is right in the middle of this. My sister-in-law in Sarasota is right in the middle of this. My Regional Office in Tampa is right in the middle of this.
My wife is scared to death. I just interjected a bit of gallows humor. Lighten up. You are not in the path of the eye like I am.
I'm just worried.....this thing turned badly so quickly!
Stay safe!
I'm looking at the infared animation from GOES, and in the course of the past hour, it looks like the eyewall has not been affected at all from being on land.
TD's 4 & 5 on same path as Bonnie/Charley?
Next weekend perhaps we do this again?
"So start your own thread on that subject. The subject here is the hurricane."
1,401 posted on 08/13/2004 2:01:42 PM PDT by MineralMan (godless atheist)
Figures, I get a response from an "godless athiest"
Don't worry MineralMan, GOD is on my side and those like me who worship the Lord instead of "mocking" him.
Yuch.
Yes - A little south of Sebring.
How high up are you guys?
How far away are the oaks from the house?
I'm not sure, Peach. My dad in Port Charlotte told me he had been preparing for two days doing the yard and emergency supplies, but he assumed they would not get the brunt of the storm. It wasn't until around noon that he heard "get out now" on the radio. That's what he told me but he could be mistaken.
Freaking lovely!!!!!
I don't know about Port Charlotte, but North Port, about 4 miles away was not evacuated.
Keep the thread on topic.
Prayers up.
It should weaken once over land since it is slowing down.
Now, I won't be as crazily optimistic of it going down to TS strength like some folks...Florida is not that big across and is mostly flat.
However, it should go down to low cat 2...possibly....maybe...Cat 1.
Well, it's taken a turn northward towards Arcadia, now.
They mentioned damage at Fiddlesticks - I saw that area mentioned hundres of posts ago... prayers for whoever has relatives/friends there
Was that a hurricane? Or N'oreaster? And having large waves hit does not always correlate to a direct hit.
Once again, this one is SSW of Jersey, and the prevailing steering currents are running NNE. The coast also runs NNE. If it hits Jersey, it will have been inland for some time. If it misses NC, it will also miss Jersey. The geometry isn't right for this to be anything but a potential rain and flooding event.
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