Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Eye is in the middle of Charlotte Harbor now.
LOL...I'll have what he's drinking.
Smartass - Say a prayer for my daughter who lives in St. Petersburg, and is going to ride it out.
Loopy Picklefink - My parents still live around St. Pete , they just called and said they have to evacuate...they are going to stay with me, here in Orlando
FrankWild - Just called my uncle in Indian Rocks Beach, five miles south of Clearwater. Nobody home. I guess everyone is evacuating.
My Favorite Headache - I am in Brevard right now but going to stay with a friend in Plant City, 25 mins outside of Tampa Bay...
GOPJ - This time we're leaving and hoping our home is safe when we return.
Old Grumpy - We here in Tampa are battening down the hatches! (outskirts of Temple Terrace) and feel safe . One of my daughters is in Riverview and the other is in north Brandon and we all feel fairly safe.
Old Sarge - My sister is in Brandon.
Netizen - We have relatives on the gulf side in North Port, Crystal River, Marco Island, Naples and Bradenton.
agrace - My brother-in-law works at Centcom and he and his family live in Tampa. Wonder if they're heading out.
Hillary's Lovely Legs - My father lives on Monte Cristo Island in the Tierra Verde Keys. He has been evacuated
devane617 - I am located in New Port Richey( North Tampa Bay), about 3 miles inland from the Gulf. I am staying put
NautiNurse - My dear cousin, who spent all afternoon boarding up my home just south of St. Pete, is still intending to stay at his home in St. Pete during the storm. I will be bugging out this morning.
PinnedAndRecessed - I have family in Tampa.
BureaucratusMaximus - wife has family in Hernando County (north of Tampa...Brooksville
Joe Brower - We've battened down the hatches here in Sarasota country (Venice, to be exact), and we're just waiting for Charley to arrive
dawn53 - We're in Tampa Bay area. Hubby is on the Emergency Management Team so he won't be here at home, but we're boarded up.
I still care - evac area D in Pasco.
Dubh_Ghlase - My homes south and west side are looking right at this monster. And having gone through the eye of Hugo, Fran, and Isabel, I have no problem going over-board (excuse the pun) in preparing for this event.
Ovrtaxt - I'm in Odessa, about 10 miles inland from Tarpon Springs. exrtreme NW corner of Hillsborough. Afterwards, if you guys don't hear from me, it's because I'm flying out Sun afternoon for 10 days. I'll try to stick around until then, but if the power and cable goes out, I may not have net access.
JamminJAY - Jammer – ST Pete.
Tunehead54 - We're in Dunedin - We're 3 miles inland
Kewz1 - My sis lives in Tampa and folks just north in New Port Richey!
Bobwoodard - I'm watching the Bay from my apt and heading out before manadatory evacuation
Flipyaforreal - Cape Coral
MinuteGal - I'm leaving for the drive to Florida early tomorrow morning. A Freeper who lives in Pasco county freepmailed me last night that all subdivisions and homes west of US 19 are under mandatory evacuation. This includes my house.
Luigi - I've been busy since first light securing everything. Hoping for the best, preparing for the worst. Where you located? I'm about five miles east of Sarasota Bay.
M Kehoe - We're making final preparations too. Stay safe. We are in a zone D, in N St. Pete
AAABEST - Just brought in all the patio furniture.
small_l_libertarian - I'm in Tampa, about 2 miles north of downtown and 1 block from the river. I'm staying put. Wish me luck!
JesseHousman - We're in Naples, 1 1/2 miles from the gulf. We'll be thinking of you today!
G-dzilla - SE St. Petersburg. I'm staying...
Snake65 - My brother and his wife were evacuated from St. Pete. They're sheltering with my parents in Sarasota (8 miles inland and about thirty feet up).
Rum Tum Tugger - I'm also in Tampa, but up in Carrollwood Village. If I were one block from the river, I wouldn't be there. Good luck.
Snowy - I have in-laws 6 to 7 miles from the water in Sarasota. My mother-in-law is 'defecating masonry' right now.
GatorGirl - Were you able to get water? Everyone is out around here. I have some and I'll fill the bathtubs in the morning.
Severa- Hubby is watching this from NAS Pensacola...I've got family in St Pete, Ocala, West Palm Beach, Miami, and Palm Coast...
Piasa - I'll let you know when the water gets up to my neck... unless a tree gets me first.
Rwfromkansas- uncle in Hudson north of Clearwater.. No doubt he is gone.
Rapunzel - I live inland Florida but in the path as Charley crosses the state
RightField - My parents have a mobile home in Largo. They are currently in far-western North Carolina, but driving to Tallahassee tomorrow to stay with my sister
Sheikdetailfeather - sister in Lake county
Tubebender - My niece and her husband Leesburg
nwctwx - Ocala. My mother is there
Howlin - I have friends in Tampa and St. Petersburg, plus New Smyrna Beach
Cogitator - I have some friends that have a house right on the Intercoastal Waterway facing Treasure Island
dandelion - My daughter is stationed at Eglin, and they're off duty today because of Bonnie - Hurricane Party ahoy!!
Lorraine - My daughter and son-in-law are both stationed at Eglin
valleygal - My dad's in the Panhandle.
Humbug- 45 miles east of Tampa
EX52D - I have family in Ft. Myers...getting nervous...
Dog - I have family in Bonita Springs....a kid brother.
Constitution Day - My dad's brother is in St. Pete
Marak - We are in Marco Island, Florida.
4ConservativeJustices - Several members of my family are in St. Pete and surrounding area. Lakeland ain't good - I have family there as well.
commish - I have a good friend who owns a golf and Tennis center on Sanibel Island.
nuconvert - I have family in Ocala area.
MineralMan - I have in-laws in Cape Coral.
boxerblues - brother who is in Mulberry/Lakeland.
vabeachrepub - I just got off the phone with my parents in Naples. Raining heavily but the wind hasn't gotten too bad yet and they still had power - although it has flickered several times. I wish they had left yesterday when they had the chance.
TxBec - I know a couple folks in the area.
nmh - My husband's sister is terminally ill and living with her husband in Fort Myers. They chose to not evacuate.
cupcakes - Prayers for those in Florida and my best friend who is in St. Cloud. I went through Andrew--don't wish that on anyone!
angcat - Land O lakes. I have family there?
maggiefluffs - friends in Bonita Springs and Naples
clamper1797My Lady is in Naples Fl. right now ... shes not answering her cell phone
pctech - A friend of my son and his family are down there, but I don't know exactly where. All I know is that they are on island. gulp...
dglang - I'm in Longwood Fl
jayef - My sister is riding this thing out in Bradenton. I must say that I am not to pleased with her decision.
dfwgator - dad in Orlando
IndyTiger - college friend of wife is seriously ill with cancer in Ft. Myers
shattered - My uncle is in Bradenton also. Prayers :)
Dont_Tread_On_Me_888 - I am in Longwood also (Wekiva).
dixie sass - Praying for relatives and friends on the western side of Florida.
MplsSteve - My brother lives in San Carlos Park, a little south of Fort Myers. I imagine he's getting bumped around a bit.
dukeman - I live in Sarasota County
pegleg My sons riding it out in St. Pete also. He ignored a mandatory evacuation notice from his apartment complex. He thinks he's safe because he's on the 3rd floor.
STARWISE - I'm inland from Tampa Bay about 25 miles
silverleaf - have friends all along the Gulf Coast
Cricket24 - I have relatives down there
TheCPA - I am here in Brandon
'Camachee – I’m here in Orlando
Siouxz - I have an elderly aunt and uncle in North Port who have left their *YIKES* mobile home to go to the east coast.
4everontheRight - I have a friend who lives in Tampa...on Richmond Place.
kruelio - I'm visiting family in Palm Harbor, I have a cousin in Clearwater, less than a mile from the beach and she's staying.
ekyjim - I'm watching this with much interest, as my mother and sisters live in Polk County
Dick Vomer - Punta Gorda
The Wizard76 - I'm the little town of Hernando today, south west of Ocala.
MIKEinGA - My Father-in-Law lives on Siesta Key
hemogoblin - Right smack in the path in Sarasota.
CobaltBlue - Tonight is our last night in a rental house on Grayton Beach, 10-15 miles east of Destin, halfway between Pensacola and Panama City
kitkat - My daughter and her family are there, too. She just moved and I don't have the address or phone number. You better believe I'm praying.
ExSES - Sitting here about 20 miles NE of Orlando on a lake
DocRock - Winter Haven - Checking in.
Lifacs – Relatives in Springhill, Brooksville, Clermont, Lady Lake, Ocala, Old Town, Williston. I’m the only one that lives south of Tampa, in Palm Beach County.
Most cable is out in SW Fla.--local station has been running on genarators for 2-3 hours..
LOL!
Day High Tide Height Sunrise Moon Time % Moon
/Low Time Feet Sunset Visible
F 13 High 10:13 AM 2.9 7:00 AM Rise 4:34 AM
13 Low 6:13 PM 0.0 8:07 PM Set 6:56 PM
Sa 14 High 1:43 AM 1.8 7:01 AM Rise 5:31 AM
14 Low 4:25 AM 1.7 8:06 PM Set 7:38 PM
14 High 10:57 AM 2.9
14 Low 6:43 PM 0.0
Stay safe friend. We'll get thru this.
punta gorde in the eye wall now.
I know what you mean. I have relatives in the Tampa area.
Yes, but just barely. It's over a small peninsula right now, hasn't quite gotten its entire core entirely over land yet. Give it another hour, or so.
very doubtful....at least according to the NWS it will reemerge as a strong tropical storm or cat 1 hurricane (officially 65kts).....and i have no reason to doubt that after 24 hrs on land.
ANY chance it could exit SOUTH of Daytona? It's staying over warm, warm water with a very tight, intact eye for a long period now...PCHarbor is probably one of the worst places that the EAST coast DIDN'T want to see it land...
Wow, thanks for that. Prayers for everyone in its path.
Thank you very much for this compilation.
And the warm water of Charlotte Harbor...
Good thing my Topsail trip is not until next Saturday!
quote from some reporter on that web feed:
"charlotte harbor is being ripped apart"
quote from TV:
"Charlotte Harbour is being ripped apart."
Trees getting blown over up here (north of Atlanta) killed a couple of people form a hurricane than hit land down at Mobile ...
Yes, they lose power over land, but not very fast.
Ah, better call our governor then; he just declared a state of emergency.
But I'm sure you know better.
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