If you are not a prophet, you should drop the note of certitude. It makes you sound like you think you are.
If you were more of an experienced 'political junkie', you would know that polls change. Many huge deficits are overcome in far less time than is available here.
And again, you are using phony numbers from before he was even a candidate.
Garbage in, garbage out, and all of that.
I will return to torment you later. I have a meeting...
I have the note of certitude because you can be certain that when somebody can't even get the whole of their own party to say they'll vote for him, and gets NO cross over from the opposition or the independants, and there's less than 90s before the election it's over.
39% deficits are not overcome in under 90 days. That's beyond huge. People who lose GETTING 39% of the vote lose by a huge margin, people that lose BY 39% might as well not even have run. Alan might close the gap some, but there's very little chance he'll top 40% by election day. There's not enough time, the carpetbagger thing is too big, and his arch conservativism is too big a hurtle in Daley country. IF Alan had actually lived there a while so he could be a legitimate candidate and IF he'd been able to start his campaign back in the primaries so he'd have some funds and good name recognition then MAYBE he could have pulled it off. But even then it's only a maybe, without those factors he's toast.
Got better number? Bring 'em. Don't like the only numbers that exist? Too bad.
You don't torment me. You embarass yourself, your need to attack the messenger shows how far people are willing to discard principles for the illusion of victory. You're the one participating in a conversation you consider "last week", if you're tormenting anyone it's yourself. Which isn't a suprise, self flagelation is a tendancy many flame war junkies have.