Posted on 08/06/2004 11:08:58 AM PDT by KQQL
Do you believe that Democrats and Republicans are at registration parity in all 50 states in the union, or what? I don't understand that thinking. States are not evenly divided by party.
Do you believe that Democrats and Republicans are at registration parity in all 50 states in the union, or what? I don't understand that thinking. States are not evenly divided by party.
The democrat party claims to have registered 30,000 more new voters than the republicans new voters.
This is the Kweezee Enfume voter registration effort in FL.
Black churches in FL are also blatantly political. They do not even PRETEND to be nonpartisan or in any fear of having their tax status threatened because "no white politician is going to touch a black church"
1. The Jewish vote will go GWB
2. GWB will get a much larger share of the Black vote than anyone democrat can even imagine....
The marriage/Judges vote will be crawling over glass to vote
Bonus: many dems don't vote except on the phone.
My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.
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Right now W's average approval ratings is 47.1% from last 7 polls (Dem/GOP don't count). The max W will get over his average approval rating is 0.5%.
So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.
W/O Nader
Bush 47.6%
Kerry 51.4%
Others 1.0%
Bush 47.6%%
Kerry 50.4%
Nader 1.3%
Others 0.7%
MOE+/-1%
The poll was taken at Ted Jabba Kennedy's house.
-PJ
ARG with a RAT bias? Say it isn't so! This poll, like many paid for by the LA Times or USA Today or the NYTimes, is skewed so far to the left it's a pretzel. The point of the exercise is to put out good numbers for Kerry on the theory that it will snowball and people will actually think he's a viable candidate despite his ineptness. (If you tell a big lie often and loud enough, people will think it's true.)
Hannity just announced they only polled 39% Republicans and 49% Democrats. This is why the poll is not viable...means absolutely NOTHING.
Don't be so sure.
There are many jewish democrats that would rather die than not vote democrat.
There is also the miami homosexual votes. They are terrified of bush and are pumping money into the democrat parties.
I hope I am wrong, but FL is going to be messy. (lawyers in place, vote fraud via provisional ballots in place, felon voting in place)
This poll doesn't seem accurate considering how close most Florida polls have been. However, it isn't oversampling democrats that much if this website http://usembassy.state.gov/islamabad/wwwh00110701.html and Richard Scher is to be trusted:
"It should be no surprise that this is a close election in Florida, according to Richard Scher, an expert on elections at the University of Florida. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans statewide 43 to 39 percent, he says, while 17 percent of voters choose no party affiliation at all. President Bill Clinton lost the state to President George H.W. Bush in 1992, but won it in 1996, an election in which young Cubans voted Democratic for the first time, according to Scher." (Dated Nov. 6, 2000)
Must be all the psuedo Jews [liberal Jews] living in Florida who still think appeasement should have been used to defeat Hitler.
One would think these so-called Jews [they are a discrace] would be the last ones towing the nazi leftist demoncratic line.
You cannot go by the two senators being rats. Graham has always acted conservative but voted liberal. He has been well liked even by conservative republicans until he showed his butt,and voters looked at his real positions. Bill Nelson also hid his voting record,and was well liked as the congressman astronaut. He won statewide as insurance commissioner,but did a crummy job. My prediction is he will lose against a pubbie in 2006. The state is not 45% democrat,39% Pubbie and 16% indie. Flush this poll with the two Johns.
The latest official numbers from Florida (6/2004), show a partisan breakdown of 42% Dem, 38% Rep., 20% Other.
Ye have too much faith in polls, the only poll that counts in the one on November 2. Polls are interesting in forming strategy, but you can take their margin of error and triple it. Besides public opinion changes with the wind. The debates will be the biggest key to this election.
But that probably reflects ALL registered voters. Republicans tend to be slightly more likely to vote, so a good sample of likely voters should be a more even number of GOPers to Dems.
Kerry will not make an algore mistake.
Kamp Kerry will try and get the debate manuals.
KQQL the poster of the "Bush Gloom and Doom Polls".
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