Kerry Takes Lead Over Bush Among Likely Voters in Florida (Kerry 50% W 43% Nader 2%)

americanresearchgroup ^ | 08/06/04 | americanresearchgroup

[FITZ]

the honest polls came out last week....

Maybe more honest --- but how can anyone set up a reliable poll today? You can't go on a street corner and ask --- you only get the people who are walking down the street, you can't call up people --- then you only get the people who answer their phones. I cannot figure out how you could really get a reliable cross section of people anymore.

[KQQL]

Updated Numbers :

My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.
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Right now W's average approval ratings is 47.5% from last 8 polls (Dem/GOP don't count). The max W will get over his average approval rating is 0.5%.

So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.

W/O Nader
Bush 48.0%
Kerry 51.0%
Others 1.0%

Bush 48.0%
Kerry 50.0%
Nader 1.3%
Others 0.7%

MOE+/-1%

[KQQL]

UpDATE 2(W/Zogby numbers)


My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.
------
Right now W's average approval ratings is 47.1% from last 9 polls (Dem/GOP don't count). The max W will get over his average approval rating is 0.5%.

So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.

W/O Nader
Bush 47.6%
Kerry 51.4%
Others 1.0%

Bush 47.6%
Kerry 50.4%
Nader 1.3%
Others 0.7%

MOE+/-1%

[RightthinkinAmerican]

When it comes to likely voters, it's pretty even NATIONALLY, yet almost ALL polls are sampled heavily toward the Dims. Dims do NOT turn out to vote in higher numbers than Repubs.