Maybe more honest --- but how can anyone set up a reliable poll today? You can't go on a street corner and ask --- you only get the people who are walking down the street, you can't call up people --- then you only get the people who answer their phones. I cannot figure out how you could really get a reliable cross section of people anymore.
Updated Numbers :
My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.
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Right now W's average approval ratings is 47.5% from last 8 polls (Dem/GOP don't count). The max W will get over his average approval rating is 0.5%.
So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.
W/O Nader
Bush 48.0%
Kerry 51.0%
Others 1.0%
Bush 48.0%
Kerry 50.0%
Nader 1.3%
Others 0.7%
MOE+/-1%