I disagree, I think the undecideds and fringe voters are on a wait and see aspect with Bush, the fringe voters are saying right now they will vote for Kerry but they havent necessarily ruled out a Bush or even a Nader vote, the dims are the ones with the most to lose. Its quite possible the dam could break in Bush favor come september.
I'd like to think (and therefore, I *AM* thinking) that this will break Bush in the last couple of weeks and we'll see around 52-44 final.
But I still reccommend caution and vigilance.
Rasmussen had a good point this morning on Fox: economic confidence and Iraq are going to be intertwined. If one goes south, they both go south. If they stay positive, they'll be positive together.
TS