Posted on 07/31/2004 12:18:26 AM PDT by NewLand
President Elect's seventh analysis of the 2004 Electoral College vote pitting President George W. Bush against the now offical Democratic nominee, John Kerry, shows that if the election were today Bush would be the first popular vote losing president to win a second term.
President Elect predicts that President Bush would win 274 electoral votes and Kerry would win 264 (Down from 279-259 in September).
CHANGES FROM LAST ANALYSIS:
- Arkansas from LEANING BUSH to SOLID BUSH
- Maine from SOLID KERRY to LEANING KERRY
- Minnesota from LEANING KERRY to SOLID KERRY
- Nevada from SOLID BUSH to LEANING BUSH
- New Mexico from LEANING BUSH to LEANING KERRY
- Virginia from SOLID BUSH to LEANING BUSH
- West Virginia from LEANING BUSH to SOLID BUSH
FYI and for your PING lists...
Interesting. What polls are used to come to the conclusions?
run by liberals, probably... but its a nice map. =o)
They describe it as a..."Wonderful public opinion site where you can get up-to-date, unbiased polling data direct without the filter of whoever wants to spin it before you see it."
Man...after seeing that map I can understand why this country had a civil war. These United States..... indeed.
puts Kerry ahead =o(
Let the Northeast secede.
even New Hamster is going for Kerry?
LOL!
AZ is NOT going for Kerry in this lifetime or the next 10!
I don't believe that Florida map at all. This state has taken a hard conservative turn in 4 years and I can prove it. Look at the last two elections here. All Republican all the time folks.
Isn't that the site that caters to the delusions of DU?
Like I said the only thing I approved of was that it was a nicely drawn map... all the wrong colors though.
I understand that Arizona conservatives are upset with Bush over the borders but they are not going to vote Kerry or sit it out. They'll vote Bush anyway.
Bush will carry every state he won last time and possibly add PA, MI and MN to his column. I don't think John F*ckin's extreme radical liberalism will play well in those states. The Democrat will win a maximum of 200 EV. Its pretty much Bush's election to lose and we have yet to see how the GOP Convention turns out. I'm optimistic he can pry weak Kerry states lose and get them in his column by September. Yeah, I figure its the Democrat's high water mark and he will only go down from here on out.
Yeah. When did that start? 2000?
lol. There was recently a revolt at the state GOP convention when the delegates ousted some pro-immigration leaders from the party.
I'm pretty easy to talk to and the big complaint I hear is spending. People generally are behind the war but a little uneasy at the cost in lives and money.
One taxi driver from the Tucson airport complained about insurance rates, which is illegal-related but he said half his fares were illegal.
269 to 269 ... Kerry wins all the Gore states plus NH and WV.
This assumes Kerry edges Bush in the battleground states in which he is ahead, like IA, MN and WI, and the Bush edges Kerry in the battleground states in which he is ahead, like MO, OH and NV.
This make the following states into battleground ststes, joining the well-known presidential battleground states ...
KY, SD and TX - where a pick-up of one Congressman in each swings a state delegation to our side, as the House will elect the President by vote of state delegations.
AK, CO, FL, GA, IL, LA, NC, OK, SC, and SD and possibly NV, PA, WA and WI - as the Senate will elect the Vice President.
BOTTOM-LINE ... the whole country is a battleground!
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