Below is from Zogby.com
While Democrats Rally in Boston,
Kerry-Edwards Leads By Five Points Over
Bush-Cheney (48%-43%), New Zogby America Poll Reveals
While the Democratic Party rallies in Boston at the Democratic National Convention, the presidential ticket of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry and North Carolina Senator John Edwards holds a five point lead over President George W. Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney (48%-43%), according to a new Zogby America poll. The telephone poll of 1001 likely voters was conducted from Monday through Thursday (July 26-29, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.2.
Presidential Ticket % |
July27-29 |
July 6-7 |
Kerry-Edwards |
48 |
48 |
Bush-Cheney |
43 |
46 |
Undecided |
8 |
5 |
Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of 1001 likely voters chosen at random nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Monday, July 26 through Thursday, July 29. The margin of error is +/3.2 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and presidential voter to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
. |
Zogby America Poll. July 26-29, 2004. N=1,001 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2 (total sample). |
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General Election Trial Heats: |
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Bush/ Cheney |
Kerry/ Edwards |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure | |||||
% | % | % | % | |||||
ALL | 43 | 48 | 2 | 8 | ||||
Men | 46 | 47 | 2 | 6 | ||||
Women | 40 | 49 | 2 | 9 | ||||
East | 33 | 55 | - | 12 | ||||
South | 46 | 48 | 1 | 5 | ||||
Midwest | 48 | 43 | 2 | 7 | ||||
West | 42 | 49 | 3 | 7 | ||||
Trend: | ||||||||
7/6-7/04 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 5 | ||||
Bush | Kerry | Nader | Badnarik | Peroutka | Other (vol.) | Unsure | ||
% | % | % | % | % | % | % | ||
7/26-29/04 | 41 | 46 | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
7/6-7/04 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | |
"Do you think George W. Bush deserves to be reelected as president of the United States, or is it time for someone new?" Trend includes slight variations in wording. |
||||||||
Deserves Reelection |
Someone New |
Unsure | ||||||
% | % | % | ||||||
7/26-29/04 | 42 | 51 | 7 | |||||
7/6-7/04 | 43 | 53 | 4 |
Seems odd that they add weight for region and party in a poll. Who did they poll? If this was in Taxachusettes, what did they expect?