Posted on 07/19/2004 9:35:13 AM PDT by okstate
Former U.S. Rep. Tom Coburn and former Oklahoma City Mayor Kirk Humphreys are about even in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, according to a statewide poll.
The poll, sponsored by the Tulsa World and KOTV-Channel 6, showed Coburn with 37 percent support, Humphreys with 34 percent and state Corporation Commissioner Bob Anthony with 7 percent. Jay Richard Hunt had 1 percent and 21 percent said they were undecided.
The difference between Coburn and Humphreys is well within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 5.9 percentage points.
If no candidate gets more than 50 percent of the vote in the July 27 primary, the two top vote-getters will be on the ballot in an Aug. 24 runoff election.
The GOP winner will likely face U.S. Rep. Brad Carson, D-Okla., in a Nov. 2 general election contest for the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Don Nickles.
Carson dominates the Democratic race.
The Senate poll, which covered a sample of 291 registered Republican voters statewide, was conducted July 8-12 by Tulsa-based Consumer Logic.
As expected, the survey showed that Republican President George Bush is a heavy favorite to defeat Democrat John Kerry in Oklahoma in November.
Al Soltow, the executive director of research at the University of Tulsa and the consultant for the poll, said the poll shows the Republican contest is still up for grabs.
The statewide survey was concluded before Humphreys campaign started airing television commercials questioning Coburn's votes in Congress.
Coburn said Humphreys had broken a promise not to go "negative" in the campaign and that his votes had been distorted.
Soltow said a breakdown of the survey had Coburn, a Muskogee family doctor, leading as expected in Tulsa, while Humphreys was on top in his hometown of Oklahoma City.
Coburn led Humphreys 37 to 27 percent in the rest of the state, Soltow said, but 28 percent of the registered Republicans surveyed outside the two major metropolitan areas were still undecided.
there will likely be a runoff. go Coburn!
I'd rather have Coburn than Humphreys, so yep
But check out this:
Club for Growth-sponsored National Research Inc poll
July 12-13, 500 likely voters
Statewide: Undecided = 17% Humphreys = 22.6% Anthony = 8.2% Coburn = 51.4% (n=500; +/-4.6 %)
I've read that the RINO establishment doesn't want Coburn.
Since the Club for Growth is a Coburn supporter, their poll numbers should be taken with a grain of salt. Coburn is likely in the lead, but a 29-point lead is highly unlikely.
Go Tom Go!!
Coburn was the US representative from Muskogee until he fulfilled his campaign promise to step down after a limited number of terms.
Go, Okie from Muskogee, Go!!
Maybe, but you could say the same (salt-wise) for a poll of 290 registered voters when trying to gauge a primary election. There have been other indications that Humphreys (and Anthony) have been losing support as well. http://soonerpolitics.com (read down past young guns)
I'm willing to bet Coburn will end up near 50%, maybe 45-52.
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