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The beginning of the end for Microsoft?
ZDNet Australia ^ | 30 June 2004 | Fran Foo

Posted on 06/30/2004 7:18:41 PM PDT by ShadowAce

commentary Franklin Fisher, Massachusetts Institute of Technology economics professor, once said Microsoft's customers believed there were no serious commercial contenders to the Windows operating system.

During the Microsoft-US Justice Department anti-trust trial in 1999, Fisher testified that this view was also shared by the software giant's hardware partners.

While alternatives to the Windows operating system and Microsoft's cash cow -- its Office productivity suite -- have long existed, these products, including OS/2 and WordPerfect, failed to make a lasting impression on the IT community.

Fast forward to 2004.

Today, competitors to Microsoft, such as Sun Microsystems, are slowly but surely gaining ground at its expense and this could well mark the start of a mass customer exodus from Microsoft -- at least for select products. It seems the recurring complaints by Microsoft's clients over issues pertaining to security, reliability and the hidden cost of its offerings have fallen on the right ears.

Embattled enterprises looking for answers can perhaps find some solace in one Australian story -- how the New South Wales Roads and Traffic Authority (RTA) hopes to save millions by ditching Microsoft.

Last week, the RTA announced the migration of 1,500 users across 120 offices from Microsoft Exchange to Sun Microsystems' Java System Messaging and Calendar Servers for e-mail and calendaring. The deal includes Sun's StarOffice productivity suite for word processing, spreadsheets and presentations, the Mozilla browser, and a backend consolidation exercise to Sun servers running on Linux. Financial details weren't disclosed.

Greg Carvouni, the RTA chief information officer, described the move as an effort to reduce "escalating software and maintenance costs." He later told ZDNet Australia he was simply tired of the constant barrage of viruses and vulnerabilities plaguing Microsoft's products.

These deficiencies were hurting RTA’s bottom line and the rot had to end. Without Microsoft, Carvouni aims to realise savings of up to AU$2 million over the next few years.

The RTA decision is hardly surprising, though. Throughout his five-year tenure, Carvouni has been a consistent open-standards advocate so the writing has always been on the wall. Besides Australia, government agencies in Europe, Asia and Latin America have also adopted Microsoft alternatives or indicated a preference to move in that direction.

Linux-based PCs have been a huge hit in Malaysia's national computer-ownership scheme, far outstripping the sale of Windows machines. The Allied Irish Bank recently decided to migrate 7,500 users from Windows 3.1 to Sun's Java Desktop System. In Thailand, Microsoft will introduce a slimmed-down version of its Windows XP operating system in September -- a move to counter software piracy and the rise of Linux.

The problems facing Microsoft could well be the "perfect storm" it has been trying to avoid. Will weak products finally presage its downfall? Only time will tell but if you ask Carvouni, he'll probably say he's not anti-Microsoft ... just a man trying to keep his job.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Technical
KEYWORDS: linux; microsoft; openstandards; sun
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1 posted on 06/30/2004 7:18:42 PM PDT by ShadowAce
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To: rdb3; chance33_98; Calvinist_Dark_Lord; Bush2000; PenguinWry; GodGunsandGuts; CyberCowboy777; ...

Open Standards tech ping


2 posted on 06/30/2004 7:19:41 PM PDT by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: ShadowAce

OMG! everyone dump Microsoft stock NOW!


3 posted on 06/30/2004 7:23:41 PM PDT by Leroy S. Mort
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To: John Robinson; B Knotts; stainlessbanner; TechJunkYard; ShadowAce; Knitebane; AppyPappy; jae471; ...
The Penguin Ping.

Wanna be Penguified? Just holla!

Got root?


4 posted on 06/30/2004 7:26:11 PM PDT by rdb3 (When I reached the fork in the road, I drove straight.)
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To: ShadowAce

I have a feeling that, as with cell phones, the rest of the world is way ahead of us on this one.


5 posted on 06/30/2004 7:26:58 PM PDT by kezekiel
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To: ShadowAce

I don't like Microsoft either, but don't count them out yet. MS has been very successful in entering other areas. There's still hugh problems with open source. MS will probably not grow as fast, but don't bet against them just yet.


6 posted on 06/30/2004 7:32:39 PM PDT by playball0
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To: playball0
There's still hugh problems with open source.

Agreed, that's a series problem.

7 posted on 06/30/2004 7:36:00 PM PDT by steve86
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To: ShadowAce

I've been seeing these 'beginning of the end' stories since 1997. I'm a Unix Admin, so I'm no big fan of MS, but it's silly to think that they're going to lose any significant market share anytime soon.


8 posted on 06/30/2004 7:39:19 PM PDT by SoDak
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To: ShadowAce
The Allied Irish Bank recently decided to migrate 7,500 users from Windows 3.1

Jeez...talk about being out of date.

9 posted on 06/30/2004 7:40:55 PM PDT by xrp
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To: rdb3
Not quite ready to be "Penguified" just yet, but will be working on it soon.

I am currently running Mozilla 1.7 as my browser. So far so good! Can you tell me what language Mozilla is written in?

Thanks,

jasper

10 posted on 06/30/2004 7:43:21 PM PDT by Jasper ("Power flows from the barrel of a 10mm pistol")
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To: Jasper
Can you tell me what language Mozilla is written in?

Well...I emerged Mozilla 1.7 on my Gentoo box just the other day, and from what I saw, I would say it's written in C++.

11 posted on 06/30/2004 7:46:01 PM PDT by jejones
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To: Jasper
Try mandrake 9.2 or 10 or redhat shrike. They are allot of fun, you just dont have the entertainment bells and whistles yet but they are there if you look and learn.

Google will tell you everything you need to know
12 posted on 06/30/2004 7:52:38 PM PDT by ezo4
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To: ShadowAce

Sorry, but I dance with the one that brought me to the party. Heck I still use my rotary phone.


13 posted on 06/30/2004 7:53:59 PM PDT by Luke (u)
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To: ShadowAce

For awhile, I've thought that the competitors to
MS were numerous, or at least several, years behind.
However, as time passes, real improvements to software
become fewer and farther between.
Eventually, 'five years ago' style software, will become
good enough to consider using. Then, the inconviences
of MS will become less tolerable, those include:
relentless unwanted useless 'upgrades', security flaws,
spyware, and not having full control of
your own hardware. When generic software becomes good
enough, people will refuse to do business with the Mafia.


14 posted on 06/30/2004 8:00:31 PM PDT by greasepaint
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To: ShadowAce
Linux-based PCs have been a huge hit in Malaysia's national computer-ownership scheme, far outstripping the sale of Windows machines. The Allied Irish Bank recently decided to migrate 7,500 users from Windows 3.1 to Sun's Java Desktop System

Ok...so these guys were running Windows 3.1 and moved to Java and they say it's evidence MS is no longer popular....I am having a slightly hard time with that one.

15 posted on 06/30/2004 8:04:06 PM PDT by Jalapeno
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To: SoDak
... it's silly to think that they're going to lose any significant market share anytime soon.

Agreed. It's as if every columnist out there wants to be able to say "I predicted it when..."

16 posted on 06/30/2004 8:13:05 PM PDT by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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Anyone remeber the article about alot of German Government offices switching to Linux also, that was an end of M$ story also.

Anywho, long live Slack...


17 posted on 06/30/2004 8:17:10 PM PDT by Brian328i
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To: ShadowAce

Yawn.


18 posted on 06/30/2004 8:39:31 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: ShadowAce

There's no doubt many foreigners (this article coming from overseas, as do many in this vein) would love to see the crippling of not only Microsoft's but AMERICA'S lead in worldwide software sales. They are even passing laws against our products like Windows, Unix and Apple OSX.

Will they eventually topple our industry? Probably not. Will they ever damage Microsoft? Possibly, but face it Microsoft has really nowhere to go but down. They currently provide 90% of all desktop operating system sales, probably close to that in desktop application suites like Office, and 70% of all server operating system sales. So while there's little room for additional growth, the imminent demise of Microsoft has been GREATLY exaggerated.


19 posted on 06/30/2004 8:41:28 PM PDT by Golden Eagle
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To: Luke; ShadowAce; Jasper; greasepaint
Well maybe you aren't on the roadand yet, but anyway Might want to read this tutorial I just came across today

Removing Spyware

Nortons Antivirus doesn't keep this crap off your machine.

20 posted on 06/30/2004 8:42:03 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (.)
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