The Election Prediction Project website is apparently run by a card-carrying liberal, and consequently, has the Liberals winning 121-105 with the other seats spread out [BQ-52, NDP-29, Ind-1]. They FINALLY pegged John Herron to lose Fundy at the last minute, but frankly, and I'm not even Canadian, the Ontario call looks way off. I doubt, despite Liberal moves in the polls, that they'll make off with 65 seats in the province, especially with the NDP running stronger. It seems they only have the CPC the most obvious gains while tossing everything else to the Liberals. The Quebec prediction I think is also understating BQ support.
Barring a disaster, the Conservatives should win a government tonight (minority OR majority, most likely minority).
I agree that it's advantage-tory. The NDP won't get enough seats to support a Liberal government, and backing Martin would be political suicide for the Bloc, which is riding an anti-Liberal wave. It could even be similar to 1979 where the Créditistes were able to keep the Tories in power merely by abstaining from votes (Joe Clark had more seats than the NDP and Liberals combined- it took all three opposition parties to defeat him).