I agree that it's advantage-tory. The NDP won't get enough seats to support a Liberal government, and backing Martin would be political suicide for the Bloc, which is riding an anti-Liberal wave. It could even be similar to 1979 where the Créditistes were able to keep the Tories in power merely by abstaining from votes (Joe Clark had more seats than the NDP and Liberals combined- it took all three opposition parties to defeat him).
Agree. My predicition still varies quite a bit from that internet projection. For starters, when and if Cardigan falls to the Tories (and I think it will), it will be a sign of the coming blue wave. If Brison goes down early in the night as well, I think it'll be an indicator.
They have, in my estimation, WAAAY underestimated Conservative support in Ontario, and slightly understated the Bloc in Quebec. NDP might be slightly overstated as well.