[Citizen of the Savage Nation]

Love the FL poll, and SurveyUSA came out looking rather well in the SC GOP runoff, off by 5 pts in favor of the eventual winner so they nailed it pretty close. In the FL poll, Bush is right at the edge of the double-MOE spread, AND sitting at 50% - very bad news for Kerry in a state he almost has to win since last week's OH poll is showing a similar move to Bush.

Overall, with 2 Bush states NH and WV sitting in Kerry's column, he has to win all his column plus OH and at least one other state. On that note, since Bush is leading in OH about as much as he is in FL, I wonder why its in the Tossup category.

[Citizen of the Savage Nation]

I have to correct myself about OH, the poll I was referring to, Mason-Dixon, is almost a month old so the data is a bit stale even if the only recent polls are dubious with the exception of Rasmussen. I guess its still a tossup barring a new poll from someone reputable.

[Dales]

Because the poll he is leading in is a Zogby Interactive poll, which I put absolutely zero credence in. I put it up just so people can make their own decisions, but for me an internet based poll using a self-selected sample (partly recruited from marijuana legalization websites) is not to be taken seriously.