I have to correct myself about OH, the poll I was referring to, Mason-Dixon, is almost a month old so the data is a bit stale even if the only recent polls are dubious with the exception of Rasmussen. I guess its still a tossup barring a new poll from someone reputable.
Furthermore regarding OH, isn't interesting even if the Zogby Interactive polls are generally suspect, that the TREND over the last 3 polls is solidly pro-Bush. Can't wait until our 527's start hitting him starting with the new Club for Growth spot!