Posted on 05/29/2004 11:22:56 AM PDT by dusty99999
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
VALID 291653Z - 300100Z
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN IOWA CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS NORTHWEST MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA OKLAHOMA
THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS FROM THE CANADIAN BORDER OF EASTERN ND AND MN SWD THRU MUCH OF CENTRAL TX.
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE AREA.
AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT WILL DRAW INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. A VIGOROUS JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN WINDS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WITH VERY STRONG SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...VARIOUS SURFACE FEATURES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF NEBRASKA...IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN KANSAS. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM A LITTLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA INTO PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS.
THE COMBINATION OF THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES WILL RESULT IN SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT STORMS THAT QUICKLY DEVELOP THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. A STRONG POSSIBLY FOR LONG TRACK TORNADOES WILL EXIST IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.
THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL AFTER DARK AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS REMAINING PORTIONS OF IOWA...MISSOURI AND OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION...MORE ISOLATED BUT STILL POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS ADJACENT TO THE HIGH RISK AREA FROM SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA SOUTH TO THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
tornado count at 70 now
How come the radar etc doesn't detect softball size hail?
PS: A guy was interviewed by the news crew..he saw a cow flying through the air and then his barn flew up in the air.
Is the level 2 data free?
extremly lucky tonight..the stronger tornadoes didnt hit populated areas
I know you guys have all the bells and whistles wrt:tracking storms. I thought you might be interested in seeing this map.
http://www.thekansascitychannel.com/wxmap/811648/detail.html
Yup. That's what we at home were just discussing. They were always bad for us out in the sticks, but the last few years they've gotten completely useless. Their website has better and more timely information - and it stinks.
Good map - pretty much shows the whole thing in one shot.
"Storms are one thing I don't miss about Oklahoma."
I think if you were ever carried at a run into the storm cellar as a toddler, it stays with you your whole life.
Archived Level II is free from: http://has.ncdc.noaa.gov/plclimprod/plsql/HAS.DsSelect . Live stuff is pricey.
What is it with the spring weather tornadoes comparing last spring and this spring..? I've never seen anything like this is my life..(ahem ALMOST 40 yrs)
I missed your reply. Thank you..that's a relief!
Thanks for the wunderground link.
Neat...did not know about that.
It goes to show that ICT is just having a prob with their composite reflectivity images that are being old, as the 0.5 reflectivity is on there..oh well.
Last May was much worse.
both seasons started off slow and May just exploded...over 550 reported last May...(record) and with the 70 today we should be well over 400 for may this year..more tommorrow too
Weather Forecasting is the science of providing information. In the case of severe weather, the information -- when used properly -- can save lives. It doesn't matter if farmland is being torn up right now or not. If ONE PERSON lives out there amongst the tumult right now, they NEED INFORMATION TO SURVIVE. Since the (not much) Weather channel isn't dispensing ANY new information right now, they are betraying their viewers and their profession. The Weather doesn't sleep and doesn't take weekends or holidays off.
And that's one reason I subscribe to Accuweather's website.
Can this be used online at all? Or is it just for meteorologists?
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/
I see downloading the bug update today fixed the problem of not being able to have the sweep transition and not being able to zoom in just partially.
(It also fixed the little problem that well.....I could access the professional features on my standard Stormlab by rightclicking on the storm attribute table....cough cough)
In all fairness, it is a holiday weekend. If you want better Weather Channel coverage, please re-schedule for a standard weekday. ;^)
Well, it is hard to get video and pics since you have to be out there seeing it.
But, I will see if there are any on tv station sites.
Wind has kicked up here the last few minutes - nothing on RADAR and all the activity is way up north of me in Oklahoma - I'm in Del Norte Tejas ... sure sounds ominous to hear all this wind noise - rustling the leaves in the trees - after what we've been doing all afternoon and evening ...
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