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Large Tornado outbreak within the next few hours SD, MN,IA, NE, KS, OK, North TX

Posted on 05/29/2004 11:22:56 AM PDT by dusty99999

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

VALID 291653Z - 300100Z

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WESTERN IOWA CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS NORTHWEST MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA OKLAHOMA

THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS FROM THE CANADIAN BORDER OF EASTERN ND AND MN SWD THRU MUCH OF CENTRAL TX.

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE AREA.

AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT WILL DRAW INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. A VIGOROUS JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN WINDS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WITH VERY STRONG SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...VARIOUS SURFACE FEATURES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF NEBRASKA...IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN KANSAS. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM A LITTLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA INTO PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS.

THE COMBINATION OF THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES WILL RESULT IN SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT STORMS THAT QUICKLY DEVELOP THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. A STRONG POSSIBLY FOR LONG TRACK TORNADOES WILL EXIST IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.

THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL AFTER DARK AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS REMAINING PORTIONS OF IOWA...MISSOURI AND OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION...MORE ISOLATED BUT STILL POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS ADJACENT TO THE HIGH RISK AREA FROM SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA SOUTH TO THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.

THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.


TOPICS: US: Iowa; US: Kansas; US: Missouri; US: Nebraska; US: Oklahoma; US: South Dakota; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: tornado; weather
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To: dusty99999

Wow! Must be getting close to 40 twisters now...


241 posted on 05/29/2004 5:30:36 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: _Jim

I do that all the time with StormLab, Jim. I lay the reflectivity image over the SRM image and can toggle between them. It works real well.


242 posted on 05/29/2004 5:30:39 PM PDT by TruBluKentuckian
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To: TruBluKentuckian

I think the large influx of StormLab users to the http interface this year (instead of ftp) is jamming up the NWS's Apache server. Before SL switched over, my app was lightning fast on directory searches and downloads. Now, I've given up getting archived Level III stuff and only check for the latest file (sn.last).

Anyway, if you're interested in viewing archived Level II data (or, if you're lucky, live Level II data), you can download my other app. It's free:

http://www.gibsonridgesoftware.com/grw88level2/

You get what you pay for! No organized documentation, could be buggy, etc. It does make pretty pictures...


243 posted on 05/29/2004 5:32:10 PM PDT by mikegi
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To: alfa6

25 miles south and that monster would of went thru Kansas City


244 posted on 05/29/2004 5:33:01 PM PDT by dusty99999
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To: dusty99999; _Jim

Channel 9, the ABC station showed a little of the damage, it did not look to bad but they broke off to go look at the storm. One shot I did see showed a barn like building collapsed and the house appeared to be undamaged.

Regards

alfa6 ;>}


245 posted on 05/29/2004 5:34:25 PM PDT by alfa6 (When you hoist up that cold one this weekend, remember those that made it possible)
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To: dusty99999
0015 UTZ IR image

Dryline still visible running N-S in western Tejas, OK and into KS.

Corresponding visible image:


246 posted on 05/29/2004 5:36:39 PM PDT by _Jim ( <--- Ann C. and Rush L. speak on gutless Liberals (RealAudio files))
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To: dusty99999

We had one fizzle out on us last Monday night, had it held together it would have went thru the southern half of the KC metro area. It started out in the Lawrence,KS area, which is about 30 miles or so west of KC buit by the time it got to the KC Metro it was just a T-storm, fortunately.

Hmmm...need to keep up the chicken sacrifces :-), eh?

Regards

alfa6 ;>}


247 posted on 05/29/2004 5:38:13 PM PDT by alfa6 (When you hoist up that cold one this weekend, remember those that made it possible)
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To: Husker24

I wrote my own app to handle the live Level II data from the NWS servers. Nifty tabbed interface so that you can toggle the various reflectivity and velocity tilts on top of each other.

I wrote it because we live just south of GA's tornado alley (Canton to Gainesville). Of course, ever since I got it working the weather has been extremely tame down here :(


248 posted on 05/29/2004 5:38:29 PM PDT by mikegi
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To: All

Has anyone heard about Belleville KS? That big north-central outbreak tracked right over top of it.


249 posted on 05/29/2004 5:38:42 PM PDT by Heatseeker
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To: rwfromkansas
Wichita is dead on for storm track L6/F9.
250 posted on 05/29/2004 5:39:09 PM PDT by TeleStraightShooter (Kerry{D-Hanoi} will graff post-Vietnam policy on Iraq: Exit & let the Syrian Baathists take over)
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To: mikegi

Thanks Mike... I'll definitely give it a try.

They fixed StormLab a little today, giving you the option of choosing the ftp servers and it's helped tremendously. So far no connection time outs.


251 posted on 05/29/2004 5:40:20 PM PDT by TruBluKentuckian
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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~

BTW< I remember, how could I forget the tree service coming for ALGORE.

I will be off the net for about an hour or so.

Good Luck all

Regards

alfa6 ;>}


252 posted on 05/29/2004 5:40:32 PM PDT by alfa6 (When you hoist up that cold one this weekend, remember those that made it possible)
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To: TruBluKentuckian
Is that a built-in feature - or do you manually toggle it?

I used to pull in images and toggle between two instances of a graphics editor - I could zoom (some storm 'velocity' features are really small - only a few Doppler RADAR "range bins" equating to very few .gif pixels) and toggle back and forth while 'inspecting a storm' in detail ...

253 posted on 05/29/2004 5:40:49 PM PDT by _Jim ( <--- Ann C. and Rush L. speak on gutless Liberals (RealAudio files))
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To: Heatseeker

There's still a strong rotation near Belleville.


254 posted on 05/29/2004 5:41:22 PM PDT by mikegi
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To: TeleStraightShooter
Wichita is dead on for storm track L6/F9.
255 posted on 05/29/2004 5:42:02 PM PDT by TeleStraightShooter (Kerry{D-Hanoi} will graff post-Vietnam policy on Iraq: Exit & let the Syrian Baathists take over)
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To: dusty99999
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 737 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR REPUBLIC COUNTY...

AT 735 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LINE OF TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS. THESE TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF REPUBLIC TO JUST EAST OF BELLEVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORDIA TO 18 MILES NORTH OF CONCORDIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BELLEVILLE, REPUBLIC, CUBA, MUNDEN. A TORNADO WAS REPORTED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MUNDEN AT 736 PM CDT.

256 posted on 05/29/2004 5:42:11 PM PDT by dusty99999
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To: dusty99999
mississippi now..

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 742 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN LEFLORE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 825 PM CDT

* AT 735 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MINTER CITY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES EAST OF RULEVILLE... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...

257 posted on 05/29/2004 5:44:13 PM PDT by dusty99999
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To: alfa6
will try to post a link a liitle later to their webpage if they have video on it.

Please do!

258 posted on 05/29/2004 5:44:15 PM PDT by _Jim ( <--- Ann C. and Rush L. speak on gutless Liberals (RealAudio files))
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To: mikegi

So you can access the wind velocity part of the radar?, is there any way I can do that without writing a program?


259 posted on 05/29/2004 5:45:13 PM PDT by Husker24
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To: dusty99999
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 742 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA * UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 742 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO 8 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF CALUMET...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALUMET...CONCHO AND EL RENO

260 posted on 05/29/2004 5:45:40 PM PDT by dusty99999
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