Swing states:
Bush lean
OH 53%
NH 56
NM 57
PA 59
FL 62
MO 63
WV 67
AR 68
NV 70
Kerry lean
WI 47
OR 44
IA 42
MN 36
MI 33
Bush could lose OH, NH, and NM and still win. Of course its all not quite that simple, but some perspective.
Small problem: we have TWO separate polls out now showing Bush up 4% in Michigan!!!